Recent high-resolution model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a persistent subtropical ridge over northern Italy maintaining clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong insolation, supporting daytime maxima near 36–38 °C in Milan on August 3 amid an ongoing regional heatwave. Urban heat-island amplification and surface dryness further elevate readings, though minor discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal approach introduce the observed spread between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against climatological August norms of 28–30 °C, concentrating probability on the 34–35 °C bin while assigning lower odds to extremes above 37 °C given limited model divergence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Milan on August 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 3?
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
33°C or below 18%
36°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
33°C or below
18%
34°C
28%
35°C
36%
36°C
17%
37°C
5%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 28%
33°C or below 18%
36°C 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 3, 2026
33°C or below
$1,254 Обс.
18%
34°C
$241 Обс.
28%
35°C
$258 Обс.
36%
36°C
$330 Обс.
17%
37°C
$171 Обс.
5%
38°C
$31 Обс.
2%
39°C
$128 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$91 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$69 Обс.
<1%
42°C
$127 Обс.
<1%
43°C or higher
$124 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a persistent subtropical ridge over northern Italy maintaining clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong insolation, supporting daytime maxima near 36–38 °C in Milan on August 3 amid an ongoing regional heatwave. Urban heat-island amplification and surface dryness further elevate readings, though minor discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal approach introduce the observed spread between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against climatological August norms of 28–30 °C, concentrating probability on the 34–35 °C bin while assigning lower odds to extremes above 37 °C given limited model divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,824Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a persistent subtropical ridge over northern Italy maintaining clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong insolation, supporting daytime maxima near 36–38 °C in Milan on August 3 amid an ongoing regional heatwave. Urban heat-island amplification and surface dryness further elevate readings, though minor discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal approach introduce the observed spread between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against climatological August norms of 28–30 °C, concentrating probability on the 34–35 °C bin while assigning lower odds to extremes above 37 °C given limited model divergence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,824Дата завершення
Aug 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 1, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution model consensus from ECMWF and GFS shows a persistent subtropical ridge over northern Italy maintaining clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong insolation, supporting daytime maxima near 36–38 °C in Milan on August 3 amid an ongoing regional heatwave. Urban heat-island amplification and surface dryness further elevate readings, though minor discrepancies in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal approach introduce the observed spread between 34 °C and 36 °C outcomes. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh the latest 00Z and 12Z runs against climatological August norms of 28–30 °C, concentrating probability on the 34–35 °C bin while assigning lower odds to extremes above 37 °C given limited model divergence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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