Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 38°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station on August 13, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal wind shear that favors peak afternoon heating. This aligns with regional guidance clustering between 37–39°C, where the urban heat island effect reliably adds 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. The market’s near-certain 38°C outcome reflects stable synoptic conditions with little day-to-day revision since early August. Minor uncertainties remain around boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing, which could shift the official reading to 37°C if updated model runs or observational adjustments occur before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 13?
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$77,172 Обс.
$77,172 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$77,172 Обс.
$77,172 Обс.
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$590 Обс.
No
33°C
$481 Обс.
No
34°C
$2,006 Обс.
No
35°C
$1,415 Обс.
No
36°C
$5,180 Обс.
No
37°C
$23,784 Обс.
No
38°C
$18,424 Обс.
Yes
39°C
$14,582 Обс.
No
40°C
$5,962 Обс.
No
41°C
$1,936 Обс.
No
42°C or higher
$2,812 Обс.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 38°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station on August 13, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal wind shear that favors peak afternoon heating. This aligns with regional guidance clustering between 37–39°C, where the urban heat island effect reliably adds 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. The market’s near-certain 38°C outcome reflects stable synoptic conditions with little day-to-day revision since early August. Minor uncertainties remain around boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing, which could shift the official reading to 37°C if updated model runs or observational adjustments occur before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$77,172Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 38°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station on August 13, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal wind shear that favors peak afternoon heating. This aligns with regional guidance clustering between 37–39°C, where the urban heat island effect reliably adds 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. The market’s near-certain 38°C outcome reflects stable synoptic conditions with little day-to-day revision since early August. Minor uncertainties remain around boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing, which could shift the official reading to 37°C if updated model runs or observational adjustments occur before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$77,172Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model consensus indicate a maximum of 38°C at the Paris-Le Bourget station on August 13, 2026, under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, strong insolation, and minimal wind shear that favors peak afternoon heating. This aligns with regional guidance clustering between 37–39°C, where the urban heat island effect reliably adds 1–2°C relative to surrounding areas. The market’s near-certain 38°C outcome reflects stable synoptic conditions with little day-to-day revision since early August. Minor uncertainties remain around boundary-layer moisture or exact frontal timing, which could shift the official reading to 37°C if updated model runs or observational adjustments occur before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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