Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance highlights a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating San Francisco temperatures, favoring a high near 70–73°F on August 19 as the most probable outcome. Cool Pacific waters and stratus clouds limit daytime heating, while the typical sea breeze and inversion strength keep inland warming from fully penetrating coastal zones. Slight model differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or layer depth explain the tight spread between 68–69°F and 72–73°F brackets, with lower odds on 74°F+ reflecting the low likelihood of strong offshore flow or clearing. This aligns with August climatology at KSFO, where daily highs average near 70°F under similar conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 19?
72-73°F 30%
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 12%
65°F or below
8%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 30%
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 21%
74-75°F 12%
65°F or below
8%
66-67°F
10%
68-69°F
21%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance highlights a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating San Francisco temperatures, favoring a high near 70–73°F on August 19 as the most probable outcome. Cool Pacific waters and stratus clouds limit daytime heating, while the typical sea breeze and inversion strength keep inland warming from fully penetrating coastal zones. Slight model differences in cloud timing, wind speed, or layer depth explain the tight spread between 68–69°F and 72–73°F brackets, with lower odds on 74°F+ reflecting the low likelihood of strong offshore flow or clearing. This aligns with August climatology at KSFO, where daily highs average near 70°F under similar conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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