Recent ensemble forecasts from INMET and international models converge on a 31–32°C peak for São Paulo on August 19, driven by stable high-pressure systems promoting mostly sunny skies, light winds, and enhanced daytime heating above the August climatological average high near 24–27°C. Low humidity and negligible precipitation risk support boundary-layer warming, while minor model spread in cloud cover and mixing leaves 31°C and 32°C closely matched in trader-implied odds. This setup aligns with recent similar outcomes under comparable synoptic patterns, though any unexpected increase in afternoon convection could cap the maximum slightly lower.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 19?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 19?
31°C 38%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
17%
31°C
38%
32°C
33%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 38%
32°C 33%
30°C 17%
33°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$5 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$27 Обс.
1%
28°C
$54 Обс.
3%
29°C
$30 Обс.
3%
30°C
$192 Обс.
17%
31°C
$221 Обс.
38%
32°C
$45 Обс.
33%
33°C
$39 Обс.
9%
34°C
$25 Обс.
5%
35°C
$5 Обс.
5%
36°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from INMET and international models converge on a 31–32°C peak for São Paulo on August 19, driven by stable high-pressure systems promoting mostly sunny skies, light winds, and enhanced daytime heating above the August climatological average high near 24–27°C. Low humidity and negligible precipitation risk support boundary-layer warming, while minor model spread in cloud cover and mixing leaves 31°C and 32°C closely matched in trader-implied odds. This setup aligns with recent similar outcomes under comparable synoptic patterns, though any unexpected increase in afternoon convection could cap the maximum slightly lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$649Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from INMET and international models converge on a 31–32°C peak for São Paulo on August 19, driven by stable high-pressure systems promoting mostly sunny skies, light winds, and enhanced daytime heating above the August climatological average high near 24–27°C. Low humidity and negligible precipitation risk support boundary-layer warming, while minor model spread in cloud cover and mixing leaves 31°C and 32°C closely matched in trader-implied odds. This setup aligns with recent similar outcomes under comparable synoptic patterns, though any unexpected increase in afternoon convection could cap the maximum slightly lower.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$649Дата завершення
Aug 19, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 9:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from INMET and international models converge on a 31–32°C peak for São Paulo on August 19, driven by stable high-pressure systems promoting mostly sunny skies, light winds, and enhanced daytime heating above the August climatological average high near 24–27°C. Low humidity and negligible precipitation risk support boundary-layer warming, while minor model spread in cloud cover and mixing leaves 31°C and 32°C closely matched in trader-implied odds. This setup aligns with recent similar outcomes under comparable synoptic patterns, though any unexpected increase in afternoon convection could cap the maximum slightly lower.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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