Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles drive the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 19–21°C for São Paulo’s August 24 maximum. These models indicate a cooler air mass under subtropical high pressure, with limited daytime heating expected amid typical late-winter stability and minimal moisture. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly below that baseline, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 19–22°C band. Forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or local urban heat effects before official resolution at the Mirante de Santana station. Updated INMET guidance tomorrow could refine the range ahead of the daily high reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 24?
20°C 30%
21°C 23%
19°C 21%
22°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
10%
19°C
21%
20°C
30%
21°C
23%
22°C
11%
23°C
5%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
1%
20°C 30%
21°C 23%
19°C 21%
22°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
15°C or below
$38 Обс.
<1%
16°C
$43 Обс.
1%
17°C
$38 Обс.
2%
18°C
$210 Обс.
10%
19°C
$249 Обс.
21%
20°C
$257 Обс.
30%
21°C
$306 Обс.
23%
22°C
$409 Обс.
11%
23°C
$252 Обс.
5%
24°C
$203 Обс.
4%
25°C or higher
$53 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles drive the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 19–21°C for São Paulo’s August 24 maximum. These models indicate a cooler air mass under subtropical high pressure, with limited daytime heating expected amid typical late-winter stability and minimal moisture. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly below that baseline, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 19–22°C band. Forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or local urban heat effects before official resolution at the Mirante de Santana station. Updated INMET guidance tomorrow could refine the range ahead of the daily high reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,060Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles drive the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 19–21°C for São Paulo’s August 24 maximum. These models indicate a cooler air mass under subtropical high pressure, with limited daytime heating expected amid typical late-winter stability and minimal moisture. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly below that baseline, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 19–22°C band. Forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or local urban heat effects before official resolution at the Mirante de Santana station. Updated INMET guidance tomorrow could refine the range ahead of the daily high reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,060Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 8:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Brazil’s INMET and global ensembles drive the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 19–21°C for São Paulo’s August 24 maximum. These models indicate a cooler air mass under subtropical high pressure, with limited daytime heating expected amid typical late-winter stability and minimal moisture. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet recent model runs have trended slightly below that baseline, sustaining trader focus on the narrow 19–22°C band. Forecast uncertainty remains due to potential shifts in steering patterns or local urban heat effects before official resolution at the Mirante de Santana station. Updated INMET guidance tomorrow could refine the range ahead of the daily high reading.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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