Traders currently assign the highest implied probabilities to a 23–25°C high in São Paulo on August 23, consistent with National Meteorological Service and international model consensus for a typical late-winter day. Recent observations show a cooling trend after highs near 30–31°C earlier in the week, with forecast guidance indicating partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and no strong warm advection or cold front passage that would push readings outside this narrow range. Historical August maxima average 23–25°C, and current ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values with limited spread, supporting market positioning while leaving room for modest revisions from updated model guidance or local station measurements on resolution day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 23?
24°C 45%
23°C 25%
25°C 18%
22°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
25%
24°C
45%
25°C
18%
26°C
5%
27°C
4%
28°C
4%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 25%
25°C 18%
22°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
20°C or below
$9 Обс.
1%
21°C
$24 Обс.
3%
22°C
$31 Обс.
11%
23°C
$79 Обс.
25%
24°C
$35 Обс.
45%
25°C
$77 Обс.
18%
26°C
$38 Обс.
5%
27°C
$9 Обс.
4%
28°C
$63 Обс.
4%
29°C
$10 Обс.
2%
30°C or higher
$402 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders currently assign the highest implied probabilities to a 23–25°C high in São Paulo on August 23, consistent with National Meteorological Service and international model consensus for a typical late-winter day. Recent observations show a cooling trend after highs near 30–31°C earlier in the week, with forecast guidance indicating partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and no strong warm advection or cold front passage that would push readings outside this narrow range. Historical August maxima average 23–25°C, and current ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values with limited spread, supporting market positioning while leaving room for modest revisions from updated model guidance or local station measurements on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$778Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders currently assign the highest implied probabilities to a 23–25°C high in São Paulo on August 23, consistent with National Meteorological Service and international model consensus for a typical late-winter day. Recent observations show a cooling trend after highs near 30–31°C earlier in the week, with forecast guidance indicating partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and no strong warm advection or cold front passage that would push readings outside this narrow range. Historical August maxima average 23–25°C, and current ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values with limited spread, supporting market positioning while leaving room for modest revisions from updated model guidance or local station measurements on resolution day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$778Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 11:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders currently assign the highest implied probabilities to a 23–25°C high in São Paulo on August 23, consistent with National Meteorological Service and international model consensus for a typical late-winter day. Recent observations show a cooling trend after highs near 30–31°C earlier in the week, with forecast guidance indicating partly cloudy conditions, light winds, and no strong warm advection or cold front passage that would push readings outside this narrow range. Historical August maxima average 23–25°C, and current ensemble runs cluster tightly around these values with limited spread, supporting market positioning while leaving room for modest revisions from updated model guidance or local station measurements on resolution day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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