Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 11 likely between 33–36°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds. This setup favors modest daytime warming through subsidence, tempered by Mediterranean sea breezes that limit coastal maxima relative to inland areas. August climatology shows average highs near 31–32°C, with recent days trending slightly above seasonal norms amid stable conditions and no significant heatwave signals. Model consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 35°C and 36°C, while minor spread in ensemble runs accounts for the 34°C and 37°C probabilities; updated runs closer to the date will refine resolution around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 11?
35°C 47%
36°C 32%
34°C 13%
37°C 8%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
13%
35°C
47%
36°C
32%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 47%
36°C 32%
34°C 13%
37°C 8%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
13%
35°C
47%
36°C
32%
37°C
8%
38°C
1%
39°C
2%
40°C
2%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and global models indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 11 likely between 33–36°C under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and light winds. This setup favors modest daytime warming through subsidence, tempered by Mediterranean sea breezes that limit coastal maxima relative to inland areas. August climatology shows average highs near 31–32°C, with recent days trending slightly above seasonal norms amid stable conditions and no significant heatwave signals. Model consensus supports the market’s leading outcomes at 35°C and 36°C, while minor spread in ensemble runs accounts for the 34°C and 37°C probabilities; updated runs closer to the date will refine resolution around these thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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