Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a maximum of 32–34 °C for Tel Aviv on August 25 under predominantly clear skies and light northwesterly winds typical of the Mediterranean summer. These conditions position the 33 °C bin as the market leader at 57.5 % implied probability, with 34 °C following at 24.5 %, as ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger heating or cooling advection. Historical August averages near 31–32 °C provide context, while the absence of Saharan air intrusions or significant cloud cover keeps extremes below 35 °C highly unlikely according to current consensus. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late adjustments ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 25?
33°C 58%
34°C 25%
32°C 12%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
58%
34°C
25%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 58%
34°C 25%
32°C 12%
35°C 3%
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
12%
33°C
58%
34°C
25%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting models indicate a maximum of 32–34 °C for Tel Aviv on August 25 under predominantly clear skies and light northwesterly winds typical of the Mediterranean summer. These conditions position the 33 °C bin as the market leader at 57.5 % implied probability, with 34 °C following at 24.5 %, as ensemble guidance shows limited potential for stronger heating or cooling advection. Historical August averages near 31–32 °C provide context, while the absence of Saharan air intrusions or significant cloud cover keeps extremes below 35 °C highly unlikely according to current consensus. Traders are monitoring the next model runs for any late adjustments ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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