Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn faces Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott in Iowa's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's narrow 2024 Republican margin and status as a competitive swing seat contribute to trader positioning, with the Democratic Party holding a 77.5% implied probability compared to 22% for Republicans. Primaries concluded on June 2 with both candidates advancing unopposed. Limited recent polling shows a modest Republican edge, creating a noted divergence from current market consensus that may reflect national midterm dynamics or other factors. Scheduled events such as fall debates or additional surveys could influence assessments ahead of Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIA-03 House Election Winner
IA-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
77%
Republican Party
22%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,519 Обс.
77%
Republican Party
$4,508 Обс.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn faces Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott in Iowa's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's narrow 2024 Republican margin and status as a competitive swing seat contribute to trader positioning, with the Democratic Party holding a 77.5% implied probability compared to 22% for Republicans. Primaries concluded on June 2 with both candidates advancing unopposed. Limited recent polling shows a modest Republican edge, creating a noted divergence from current market consensus that may reflect national midterm dynamics or other factors. Scheduled events such as fall debates or additional surveys could influence assessments ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,027Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn faces Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott in Iowa's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's narrow 2024 Republican margin and status as a competitive swing seat contribute to trader positioning, with the Democratic Party holding a 77.5% implied probability compared to 22% for Republicans. Primaries concluded on June 2 with both candidates advancing unopposed. Limited recent polling shows a modest Republican edge, creating a noted divergence from current market consensus that may reflect national midterm dynamics or other factors. Scheduled events such as fall debates or additional surveys could influence assessments ahead of Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,027Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Zach Nunn faces Democrat Sarah Trone Garriott in Iowa's 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The district's narrow 2024 Republican margin and status as a competitive swing seat contribute to trader positioning, with the Democratic Party holding a 77.5% implied probability compared to 22% for Republicans. Primaries concluded on June 2 with both candidates advancing unopposed. Limited recent polling shows a modest Republican edge, creating a noted divergence from current market consensus that may reflect national midterm dynamics or other factors. Scheduled events such as fall debates or additional surveys could influence assessments ahead of Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання