President Trump's August 5 letter renewing efforts to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage fraud allegations has become the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment, with her response due by late August. This follows the Supreme Court's June 29 ruling blocking an earlier attempt and underscoring the "for cause" standard under the Federal Reserve Act to preserve central bank independence. Markets price in prolonged legal and procedural hurdles before any ouster, given Cook's term through 2038 and the emphasis on insulating monetary policy from political pressure. Upcoming milestones include her formal reply, potential further litigation, and any FOMC-related developments that could influence perceptions of Fed autonomy amid ongoing inflation and labor data releases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
2%
October 31
3%
November 30
5%
December 31
7%
$4,656 Обс.
September 30
$1,246 Обс.
2%
October 31
$1,236 Обс.
3%
November 30
$939 Обс.
5%
December 31
$1,235 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's August 5 letter renewing efforts to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage fraud allegations has become the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment, with her response due by late August. This follows the Supreme Court's June 29 ruling blocking an earlier attempt and underscoring the "for cause" standard under the Federal Reserve Act to preserve central bank independence. Markets price in prolonged legal and procedural hurdles before any ouster, given Cook's term through 2038 and the emphasis on insulating monetary policy from political pressure. Upcoming milestones include her formal reply, potential further litigation, and any FOMC-related developments that could influence perceptions of Fed autonomy amid ongoing inflation and labor data releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,656Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's August 5 letter renewing efforts to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage fraud allegations has become the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment, with her response due by late August. This follows the Supreme Court's June 29 ruling blocking an earlier attempt and underscoring the "for cause" standard under the Federal Reserve Act to preserve central bank independence. Markets price in prolonged legal and procedural hurdles before any ouster, given Cook's term through 2038 and the emphasis on insulating monetary policy from political pressure. Upcoming milestones include her formal reply, potential further litigation, and any FOMC-related developments that could influence perceptions of Fed autonomy amid ongoing inflation and labor data releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa Cook formally ceases to hold the position of Member of the US Federal Reserve Board of Governors by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Lisa Cook must formally cease to hold the specified position in accordance with the laws, rules, or procedures applicable to that position. Announcements of a future departure do not qualify. The means of departure do not impact settlement; resignation, removal, dismissal, or other means all qualify.
Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$4,656Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's August 5 letter renewing efforts to remove Fed Governor Lisa Cook over 2021 mortgage fraud allegations has become the central catalyst shaping trader sentiment, with her response due by late August. This follows the Supreme Court's June 29 ruling blocking an earlier attempt and underscoring the "for cause" standard under the Federal Reserve Act to preserve central bank independence. Markets price in prolonged legal and procedural hurdles before any ouster, given Cook's term through 2038 and the emphasis on insulating monetary policy from political pressure. Upcoming milestones include her formal reply, potential further litigation, and any FOMC-related developments that could influence perceptions of Fed autonomy amid ongoing inflation and labor data releases.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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