Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows Amsterdam's overnight low on September 17 likely near 12–13°C under a frontal system with persistent southwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and periods of rain. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while the mild maritime air mass keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms around 12°C. Trader positioning across the 12°C, 13°C, and 18°C+ bins reflects model spread in exact minimum timing and any late-day warming, with upcoming ECMWF and KNMI runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 17?
18°C or higher 72%
14°C 39%
17°C 38%
15°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
20%
10°C
22%
11°C
21%
12°C
28%
13°C
26%
14°C
39%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
38%
18°C or higher
72%
18°C or higher 72%
14°C 39%
17°C 38%
15°C 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 17, 2026
8°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
9°C
$0 Обс.
20%
10°C
$0 Обс.
22%
11°C
$0 Обс.
21%
12°C
$0 Обс.
28%
13°C
$0 Обс.
26%
14°C
$0 Обс.
39%
15°C
$0 Обс.
37%
16°C
$0 Обс.
37%
17°C
$0 Обс.
38%
18°C or higher
$0 Обс.
72%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows Amsterdam's overnight low on September 17 likely near 12–13°C under a frontal system with persistent southwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and periods of rain. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while the mild maritime air mass keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms around 12°C. Trader positioning across the 12°C, 13°C, and 18°C+ bins reflects model spread in exact minimum timing and any late-day warming, with upcoming ECMWF and KNMI runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows Amsterdam's overnight low on September 17 likely near 12–13°C under a frontal system with persistent southwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and periods of rain. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while the mild maritime air mass keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms around 12°C. Trader positioning across the 12°C, 13°C, and 18°C+ bins reflects model spread in exact minimum timing and any late-day warming, with upcoming ECMWF and KNMI runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from GFS and ECMWF shows Amsterdam's overnight low on September 17 likely near 12–13°C under a frontal system with persistent southwest winds, widespread cloud cover, and periods of rain. These conditions limit nocturnal radiative cooling compared to clear-sky scenarios, while the mild maritime air mass keeps temperatures close to seasonal norms around 12°C. Trader positioning across the 12°C, 13°C, and 18°C+ bins reflects model spread in exact minimum timing and any late-day warming, with upcoming ECMWF and KNMI runs expected to tighten the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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