Recent forecasts from European models indicate a northwest wind shift and increasing cloud cover will moderate overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam on September 9, keeping the minimum temperature near 12–14 °C. Westerly flow advecting milder maritime air, combined with scattered showers that limit clear-sky cooling, supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values. Historical September minima average about 11 °C, but the current pattern lacks the strong high-pressure subsidence needed for sharper drops, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed sustains uncertainty between 12 °C and 14 °C outcomes. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 9?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 9?
14°C 34%
13°C 32%
12°C 27%
11°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
9°C or below
5%
10°C
5%
11°C
26%
12°C
27%
13°C
32%
14°C
34%
15°C
12%
16°C
5%
17°C
5%
18°C
8%
19°C or higher
7%
14°C 34%
13°C 32%
12°C 27%
11°C 26%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 9, 2026
9°C or below
$22 Обс.
5%
10°C
$22 Обс.
5%
11°C
$0 Обс.
26%
12°C
$0 Обс.
27%
13°C
$0 Обс.
32%
14°C
$0 Обс.
34%
15°C
$0 Обс.
12%
16°C
$47 Обс.
5%
17°C
$22 Обс.
5%
18°C
$22 Обс.
8%
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a northwest wind shift and increasing cloud cover will moderate overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam on September 9, keeping the minimum temperature near 12–14 °C. Westerly flow advecting milder maritime air, combined with scattered showers that limit clear-sky cooling, supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values. Historical September minima average about 11 °C, but the current pattern lacks the strong high-pressure subsidence needed for sharper drops, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed sustains uncertainty between 12 °C and 14 °C outcomes. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$134Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate a northwest wind shift and increasing cloud cover will moderate overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam on September 9, keeping the minimum temperature near 12–14 °C. Westerly flow advecting milder maritime air, combined with scattered showers that limit clear-sky cooling, supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values. Historical September minima average about 11 °C, but the current pattern lacks the strong high-pressure subsidence needed for sharper drops, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed sustains uncertainty between 12 °C and 14 °C outcomes. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$134Дата завершення
Sep 9, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European models indicate a northwest wind shift and increasing cloud cover will moderate overnight radiative cooling in Amsterdam on September 9, keeping the minimum temperature near 12–14 °C. Westerly flow advecting milder maritime air, combined with scattered showers that limit clear-sky cooling, supports the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around these values. Historical September minima average about 11 °C, but the current pattern lacks the strong high-pressure subsidence needed for sharper drops, while model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speed sustains uncertainty between 12 °C and 14 °C outcomes. Updated runs from the European Centre and GFS over the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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