Uncertainty surrounding a potential tropical storm threat for August 23-25 amid Central Texas's persistent heat wave drives the near-even split between 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher outcomes for Austin's August 24 low. Ongoing high pressure supports extreme daytime heat with typical midsummer lows near 74-76°F, but increased cloud cover, humidity, and possible rainfall from Gulf moisture could suppress radiative cooling and drop overnight temperatures well below climatology. Clear, dry conditions would instead maintain elevated lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Latest NWS and model guidance on storm track, steering patterns, and timing remain the key variables likely to shift trader consensus before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Austin on August 24?
92°F or higher 88%
73°F or below 46%
84-85°F 37%
86-87°F 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
46%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
20%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
37%
86-87°F
37%
88-89°F
37%
90-91°F
37%
92°F or higher
88%
92°F or higher 88%
73°F or below 46%
84-85°F 37%
86-87°F 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 24, 2026
73°F or below
$0 Обс.
46%
74-75°F
$0 Обс.
20%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
20%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
20%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
20%
82-83°F
$4 Обс.
19%
84-85°F
$5 Обс.
37%
86-87°F
$5 Обс.
37%
88-89°F
$5 Обс.
37%
90-91°F
$5 Обс.
37%
92°F or higher
$5 Обс.
88%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty surrounding a potential tropical storm threat for August 23-25 amid Central Texas's persistent heat wave drives the near-even split between 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher outcomes for Austin's August 24 low. Ongoing high pressure supports extreme daytime heat with typical midsummer lows near 74-76°F, but increased cloud cover, humidity, and possible rainfall from Gulf moisture could suppress radiative cooling and drop overnight temperatures well below climatology. Clear, dry conditions would instead maintain elevated lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Latest NWS and model guidance on storm track, steering patterns, and timing remain the key variables likely to shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$29Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Uncertainty surrounding a potential tropical storm threat for August 23-25 amid Central Texas's persistent heat wave drives the near-even split between 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher outcomes for Austin's August 24 low. Ongoing high pressure supports extreme daytime heat with typical midsummer lows near 74-76°F, but increased cloud cover, humidity, and possible rainfall from Gulf moisture could suppress radiative cooling and drop overnight temperatures well below climatology. Clear, dry conditions would instead maintain elevated lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Latest NWS and model guidance on storm track, steering patterns, and timing remain the key variables likely to shift trader consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$29Дата завершення
Aug 24, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Uncertainty surrounding a potential tropical storm threat for August 23-25 amid Central Texas's persistent heat wave drives the near-even split between 73°F-or-below and 92°F-or-higher outcomes for Austin's August 24 low. Ongoing high pressure supports extreme daytime heat with typical midsummer lows near 74-76°F, but increased cloud cover, humidity, and possible rainfall from Gulf moisture could suppress radiative cooling and drop overnight temperatures well below climatology. Clear, dry conditions would instead maintain elevated lows in the upper 70s to low 80s. Latest NWS and model guidance on storm track, steering patterns, and timing remain the key variables likely to shift trader consensus before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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