Recent stabilization following mid-August cold fronts and cut-off lows has reduced cloud cover over Cape Town, enabling stronger nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure while light southerly winds advect cooler marine air from the Benguela Current. Official forecasts and ensemble guidance show a tight spread for the August 25 minimum, clustering near 11–13°C with minor divergence in boundary-layer winds and residual moisture that could tip the overnight low several degrees colder or warmer. This genuine scientific uncertainty—typical of short-range winter temperature prediction—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 25?
7°C or below 84%
17°C or higher 84%
14°C 49%
16°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
7°C or below
84%
8°C
25%
9°C
25%
10°C
29%
11°C
30%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
49%
15°C
2%
16°C
49%
17°C or higher
84%
7°C or below 84%
17°C or higher 84%
14°C 49%
16°C 49%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 25, 2026
7°C or below
$5 Обс.
84%
8°C
$0 Обс.
25%
9°C
$0 Обс.
25%
10°C
$0 Обс.
29%
11°C
$0 Обс.
30%
12°C
$0 Обс.
26%
13°C
$0 Обс.
25%
14°C
$5 Обс.
49%
15°C
$5 Обс.
2%
16°C
$5 Обс.
49%
17°C or higher
$5 Обс.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent stabilization following mid-August cold fronts and cut-off lows has reduced cloud cover over Cape Town, enabling stronger nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure while light southerly winds advect cooler marine air from the Benguela Current. Official forecasts and ensemble guidance show a tight spread for the August 25 minimum, clustering near 11–13°C with minor divergence in boundary-layer winds and residual moisture that could tip the overnight low several degrees colder or warmer. This genuine scientific uncertainty—typical of short-range winter temperature prediction—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent stabilization following mid-August cold fronts and cut-off lows has reduced cloud cover over Cape Town, enabling stronger nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure while light southerly winds advect cooler marine air from the Benguela Current. Official forecasts and ensemble guidance show a tight spread for the August 25 minimum, clustering near 11–13°C with minor divergence in boundary-layer winds and residual moisture that could tip the overnight low several degrees colder or warmer. This genuine scientific uncertainty—typical of short-range winter temperature prediction—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$25Дата завершення
Aug 25, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent stabilization following mid-August cold fronts and cut-off lows has reduced cloud cover over Cape Town, enabling stronger nocturnal radiational cooling under high pressure while light southerly winds advect cooler marine air from the Benguela Current. Official forecasts and ensemble guidance show a tight spread for the August 25 minimum, clustering near 11–13°C with minor divergence in boundary-layer winds and residual moisture that could tip the overnight low several degrees colder or warmer. This genuine scientific uncertainty—typical of short-range winter temperature prediction—explains the near-even market split between sub-8°C and 17°C+ outcomes, with traders closely monitoring updated model runs and South African Weather Service briefings ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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