Recent cold fronts and associated upper-level troughs have sustained cooler-than-average conditions across South Africa's Western Cape, driving trader emphasis on the 6°C-or-below outcome at 44.5% implied probability. August climatology places typical overnight minima near 9–11°C, yet successive frontal passages have repeatedly suppressed temperatures along the coast, with recent model guidance indicating potential for further cooling by the 23rd. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any additional short-wave influences that could enhance radiational cooling under clear skies. SAWS and global ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
6°C or below 82%
16°C or higher 49%
15°C 48%
7°C 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
6°C or below
82%
7°C
45%
8°C
26%
9°C
26%
10°C
31%
11°C
30%
12°C
26%
13°C
25%
14°C
2%
15°C
48%
16°C or higher
49%
6°C or below 82%
16°C or higher 49%
15°C 48%
7°C 45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
6°C or below
$5 Обс.
82%
7°C
$5 Обс.
45%
8°C
$0 Обс.
26%
9°C
$0 Обс.
26%
10°C
$0 Обс.
31%
11°C
$0 Обс.
30%
12°C
$0 Обс.
26%
13°C
$0 Обс.
25%
14°C
$0 Обс.
2%
15°C
$5 Обс.
48%
16°C or higher
$5 Обс.
49%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts and associated upper-level troughs have sustained cooler-than-average conditions across South Africa's Western Cape, driving trader emphasis on the 6°C-or-below outcome at 44.5% implied probability. August climatology places typical overnight minima near 9–11°C, yet successive frontal passages have repeatedly suppressed temperatures along the coast, with recent model guidance indicating potential for further cooling by the 23rd. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any additional short-wave influences that could enhance radiational cooling under clear skies. SAWS and global ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent cold fronts and associated upper-level troughs have sustained cooler-than-average conditions across South Africa's Western Cape, driving trader emphasis on the 6°C-or-below outcome at 44.5% implied probability. August climatology places typical overnight minima near 9–11°C, yet successive frontal passages have repeatedly suppressed temperatures along the coast, with recent model guidance indicating potential for further cooling by the 23rd. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any additional short-wave influences that could enhance radiational cooling under clear skies. SAWS and global ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$20Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold fronts and associated upper-level troughs have sustained cooler-than-average conditions across South Africa's Western Cape, driving trader emphasis on the 6°C-or-below outcome at 44.5% implied probability. August climatology places typical overnight minima near 9–11°C, yet successive frontal passages have repeatedly suppressed temperatures along the coast, with recent model guidance indicating potential for further cooling by the 23rd. Key variables include steering flow strength, boundary-layer mixing, and any additional short-wave influences that could enhance radiational cooling under clear skies. SAWS and global ensemble updates over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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