**Recent cold air advection into the Sichuan Basin has driven the market's focus on a minimum near 20–21 °C for Chongqing on September 11.** Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models (GFS, ECMWF) show a post-frontal air mass with overnight lows stabilizing in the 18–22 °C range after the sharp cooling that began September 9–10. Persistent cloud cover and light variable winds limit radiational cooling, while residual moisture keeps dew points elevated, preventing deeper drops. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 22 °C, but the current modified polar air has shifted the distribution lower. Traders have priced the highest probabilities at 20 °C (46 %) and 21 °C (28.5 %), reflecting model consensus on modest overnight cooling without renewed warm advection. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model runs will determine whether probabilities shift further toward 19 °C or hold near 20–21 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 11?
20°C 46%
26°C or higher 37%
16°C or below 31%
21°C 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
31%
17°C
14%
18°C
12%
19°C
25%
20°C
46%
21°C
30%
22°C
18%
23°C
21%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C or higher
37%
20°C 46%
26°C or higher 37%
16°C or below 31%
21°C 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Обс.
31%
17°C
$0 Обс.
14%
18°C
$0 Обс.
12%
19°C
$0 Обс.
25%
20°C
$18 Обс.
46%
21°C
$0 Обс.
30%
22°C
$0 Обс.
18%
23°C
$0 Обс.
21%
24°C
$0 Обс.
6%
25°C
$0 Обс.
14%
26°C or higher
$0 Обс.
37%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cold air advection into the Sichuan Basin has driven the market's focus on a minimum near 20–21 °C for Chongqing on September 11.** Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models (GFS, ECMWF) show a post-frontal air mass with overnight lows stabilizing in the 18–22 °C range after the sharp cooling that began September 9–10. Persistent cloud cover and light variable winds limit radiational cooling, while residual moisture keeps dew points elevated, preventing deeper drops. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 22 °C, but the current modified polar air has shifted the distribution lower. Traders have priced the highest probabilities at 20 °C (46 %) and 21 °C (28.5 %), reflecting model consensus on modest overnight cooling without renewed warm advection. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model runs will determine whether probabilities shift further toward 19 °C or hold near 20–21 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$18Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent cold air advection into the Sichuan Basin has driven the market's focus on a minimum near 20–21 °C for Chongqing on September 11.** Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models (GFS, ECMWF) show a post-frontal air mass with overnight lows stabilizing in the 18–22 °C range after the sharp cooling that began September 9–10. Persistent cloud cover and light variable winds limit radiational cooling, while residual moisture keeps dew points elevated, preventing deeper drops. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 22 °C, but the current modified polar air has shifted the distribution lower. Traders have priced the highest probabilities at 20 °C (46 %) and 21 °C (28.5 %), reflecting model consensus on modest overnight cooling without renewed warm advection. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model runs will determine whether probabilities shift further toward 19 °C or hold near 20–21 °C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$18Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Recent cold air advection into the Sichuan Basin has driven the market's focus on a minimum near 20–21 °C for Chongqing on September 11.** Official forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models (GFS, ECMWF) show a post-frontal air mass with overnight lows stabilizing in the 18–22 °C range after the sharp cooling that began September 9–10. Persistent cloud cover and light variable winds limit radiational cooling, while residual moisture keeps dew points elevated, preventing deeper drops. Historical September climatology places typical minima near 22 °C, but the current modified polar air has shifted the distribution lower. Traders have priced the highest probabilities at 20 °C (46 %) and 21 °C (28.5 %), reflecting model consensus on modest overnight cooling without renewed warm advection. Updated guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and next model runs will determine whether probabilities shift further toward 19 °C or hold near 20–21 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання