**Incoming cold air from the north is the dominant driver behind the closely matched market odds for Chongqing’s September 10 minimum temperature.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates the air mass reaches the city overnight on September 9–10, accompanied by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Ensemble forecasts show minimums clustering near 18–20 °C, supporting the 44 % implied probability on 19 °C or below, while residual uncertainty in exact timing and rainfall intensity keeps the 29 °C-or-higher outcome at 40.5 %. Higher humidity (70–80 %) and light winds further moderate the overnight low, but model spread in precipitation timing creates the observed balance between cooler and milder scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs expected overnight will likely narrow resolution criteria around the 19–22 °C range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 10?
29°C or higher 81%
21°C 48%
19°C or below 44%
26°C 35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
44%
20°C
22%
21°C
27%
22°C
21%
23°C
9%
24°C
20%
25°C
16%
26°C
35%
27°C
35%
28°C
35%
29°C or higher
81%
29°C or higher 81%
21°C 48%
19°C or below 44%
26°C 35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$26 Обс.
44%
20°C
$0 Обс.
22%
21°C
$21 Обс.
27%
22°C
$0 Обс.
21%
23°C
$31 Обс.
9%
24°C
$0 Обс.
20%
25°C
$55 Обс.
16%
26°C
$0 Обс.
35%
27°C
$30 Обс.
35%
28°C
$25 Обс.
35%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air from the north is the dominant driver behind the closely matched market odds for Chongqing’s September 10 minimum temperature.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates the air mass reaches the city overnight on September 9–10, accompanied by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Ensemble forecasts show minimums clustering near 18–20 °C, supporting the 44 % implied probability on 19 °C or below, while residual uncertainty in exact timing and rainfall intensity keeps the 29 °C-or-higher outcome at 40.5 %. Higher humidity (70–80 %) and light winds further moderate the overnight low, but model spread in precipitation timing creates the observed balance between cooler and milder scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs expected overnight will likely narrow resolution criteria around the 19–22 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$188Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Incoming cold air from the north is the dominant driver behind the closely matched market odds for Chongqing’s September 10 minimum temperature.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates the air mass reaches the city overnight on September 9–10, accompanied by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Ensemble forecasts show minimums clustering near 18–20 °C, supporting the 44 % implied probability on 19 °C or below, while residual uncertainty in exact timing and rainfall intensity keeps the 29 °C-or-higher outcome at 40.5 %. Higher humidity (70–80 %) and light winds further moderate the overnight low, but model spread in precipitation timing creates the observed balance between cooler and milder scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs expected overnight will likely narrow resolution criteria around the 19–22 °C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$188Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Incoming cold air from the north is the dominant driver behind the closely matched market odds for Chongqing’s September 10 minimum temperature.** Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates the air mass reaches the city overnight on September 9–10, accompanied by increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and southwesterly winds that limit radiational cooling. Ensemble forecasts show minimums clustering near 18–20 °C, supporting the 44 % implied probability on 19 °C or below, while residual uncertainty in exact timing and rainfall intensity keeps the 29 °C-or-higher outcome at 40.5 %. Higher humidity (70–80 %) and light winds further moderate the overnight low, but model spread in precipitation timing creates the observed balance between cooler and milder scenarios. Updated CMA and global model runs expected overnight will likely narrow resolution criteria around the 19–22 °C range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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