Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 14 likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered rainfall that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical conditions with light northerly winds and dew points around 23-25°C further support this outcome, aligning with the market's near-tie between 25°C and 26°C at 32% implied probability each. Historical September averages near 24.3°C provide context, though recent model runs show slightly warmer nights than the long-term baseline due to reduced clear-sky periods. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-22°C reflect the low likelihood of extreme deviations under these stable atmospheric patterns. Official China Meteorological Administration data releases tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on September 14?
30°C or higher 97%
20°C or below 40%
22°C 36%
23°C 35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
40%
21°C
17%
22°C
36%
23°C
35%
24°C
34%
25°C
33%
26°C
29%
27°C
33%
28°C
17%
29°C
17%
30°C or higher
97%
30°C or higher 97%
20°C or below 40%
22°C 36%
23°C 35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 14, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Обс.
40%
21°C
$0 Обс.
17%
22°C
$0 Обс.
36%
23°C
$0 Обс.
35%
24°C
$0 Обс.
34%
25°C
$21 Обс.
33%
26°C
$0 Обс.
29%
27°C
$0 Обс.
33%
28°C
$0 Обс.
17%
29°C
$0 Обс.
17%
30°C or higher
$0 Обс.
97%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 14 likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered rainfall that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical conditions with light northerly winds and dew points around 23-25°C further support this outcome, aligning with the market's near-tie between 25°C and 26°C at 32% implied probability each. Historical September averages near 24.3°C provide context, though recent model runs show slightly warmer nights than the long-term baseline due to reduced clear-sky periods. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-22°C reflect the low likelihood of extreme deviations under these stable atmospheric patterns. Official China Meteorological Administration data releases tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$21Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 14 likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered rainfall that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical conditions with light northerly winds and dew points around 23-25°C further support this outcome, aligning with the market's near-tie between 25°C and 26°C at 32% implied probability each. Historical September averages near 24.3°C provide context, though recent model runs show slightly warmer nights than the long-term baseline due to reduced clear-sky periods. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-22°C reflect the low likelihood of extreme deviations under these stable atmospheric patterns. Official China Meteorological Administration data releases tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$21Дата завершення
Sep 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 12, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Guangzhou on September 14 likely falling in the mid-20s °C range, driven by persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80-90%, and scattered rainfall that limits nocturnal radiative cooling. Subtropical conditions with light northerly winds and dew points around 23-25°C further support this outcome, aligning with the market's near-tie between 25°C and 26°C at 32% implied probability each. Historical September averages near 24.3°C provide context, though recent model runs show slightly warmer nights than the long-term baseline due to reduced clear-sky periods. Lower probabilities for 30°C+ or sub-22°C reflect the low likelihood of extreme deviations under these stable atmospheric patterns. Official China Meteorological Administration data releases tomorrow morning will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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