Recent forecast guidance from global models indicates a mild overnight period for London on September 11, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 13–16 °C amid persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and an absence of strong radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes, as limited clear-sky conditions and modest dew points near 13–14 °C reduce the chance of sharper drops. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and lack of incoming cooler Atlantic air keep probabilities anchored in the mid-teens; final model runs and Met Office updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in London on September 11?
Lowest temperature in London on September 11?
15°C 48%
16°C 41%
13°C 19%
14°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
2%
11°C
2%
12°C
3%
13°C
19%
14°C
14%
15°C
32%
16°C
41%
17°C
13%
18°C
3%
19°C
2%
20°C or higher
2%
15°C 48%
16°C 41%
13°C 19%
14°C 14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
$0 Обс.
2%
11°C
$0 Обс.
2%
12°C
$0 Обс.
3%
13°C
$0 Обс.
19%
14°C
$0 Обс.
14%
15°C
$146 Обс.
32%
16°C
$223 Обс.
41%
17°C
$0 Обс.
13%
18°C
$0 Обс.
3%
19°C
$0 Обс.
2%
20°C or higher
$0 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from global models indicates a mild overnight period for London on September 11, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 13–16 °C amid persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and an absence of strong radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes, as limited clear-sky conditions and modest dew points near 13–14 °C reduce the chance of sharper drops. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and lack of incoming cooler Atlantic air keep probabilities anchored in the mid-teens; final model runs and Met Office updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$369Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from global models indicates a mild overnight period for London on September 11, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 13–16 °C amid persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and an absence of strong radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes, as limited clear-sky conditions and modest dew points near 13–14 °C reduce the chance of sharper drops. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and lack of incoming cooler Atlantic air keep probabilities anchored in the mid-teens; final model runs and Met Office updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$369Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from global models indicates a mild overnight period for London on September 11, with minimum temperatures most likely settling between 13–16 °C amid persistent cloud cover, light southwesterly winds, and an absence of strong radiative cooling under a stable air mass. This consensus supports the market’s tight clustering around 15 °C and 16 °C outcomes, as limited clear-sky conditions and modest dew points near 13–14 °C reduce the chance of sharper drops. Historical September averages near 12 °C provide context, yet current steering patterns and lack of incoming cooler Atlantic air keep probabilities anchored in the mid-teens; final model runs and Met Office updates over the next 48 hours will refine the exact low before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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