Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows near Miami International Airport in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 8, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–83 °F. Typical early-August subtropical conditions—high humidity, light winds, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms—limit nighttime radiative cooling, while sea-breeze moderation and Atlantic moisture anchor minimums close to the 78 °F climatological normal. Slight differences among the leading bins hinge on forecast details such as cloud-cover persistence after sunset and any organized convection that could suppress or enhance cooling. With no tropical systems nearby and the 2026 Atlantic season expected below normal, traders see little basis for outliers below 76 °F or above 85 °F, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on the historical range. Updated NWS point forecasts and the evening observation on August 8 will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Miami on August 8?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 8?
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 36%
78-79°F 36%
86-87°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
71°F or below
2%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
11%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 36%
78-79°F 36%
86-87°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 8, 2026
71°F or below
$12 Обс.
2%
72-73°F
$12 Обс.
7%
74-75°F
$11 Обс.
6%
76-77°F
$0 Обс.
10%
78-79°F
$0 Обс.
36%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
41%
82-83°F
$0 Обс.
36%
84-85°F
$0 Обс.
10%
86-87°F
$12 Обс.
11%
88-89°F
$12 Обс.
1%
90°F or higher
$12 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows near Miami International Airport in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 8, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–83 °F. Typical early-August subtropical conditions—high humidity, light winds, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms—limit nighttime radiative cooling, while sea-breeze moderation and Atlantic moisture anchor minimums close to the 78 °F climatological normal. Slight differences among the leading bins hinge on forecast details such as cloud-cover persistence after sunset and any organized convection that could suppress or enhance cooling. With no tropical systems nearby and the 2026 Atlantic season expected below normal, traders see little basis for outliers below 76 °F or above 85 °F, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on the historical range. Updated NWS point forecasts and the evening observation on August 8 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$71Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows near Miami International Airport in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 8, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–83 °F. Typical early-August subtropical conditions—high humidity, light winds, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms—limit nighttime radiative cooling, while sea-breeze moderation and Atlantic moisture anchor minimums close to the 78 °F climatological normal. Slight differences among the leading bins hinge on forecast details such as cloud-cover persistence after sunset and any organized convection that could suppress or enhance cooling. With no tropical systems nearby and the 2026 Atlantic season expected below normal, traders see little basis for outliers below 76 °F or above 85 °F, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on the historical range. Updated NWS point forecasts and the evening observation on August 8 will resolve the market.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$71Дата завершення
Aug 8, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 6, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and model consensus point to overnight lows near Miami International Airport in the upper 70s to low 80s on August 8, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 78–83 °F. Typical early-August subtropical conditions—high humidity, light winds, and frequent afternoon thunderstorms—limit nighttime radiative cooling, while sea-breeze moderation and Atlantic moisture anchor minimums close to the 78 °F climatological normal. Slight differences among the leading bins hinge on forecast details such as cloud-cover persistence after sunset and any organized convection that could suppress or enhance cooling. With no tropical systems nearby and the 2026 Atlantic season expected below normal, traders see little basis for outliers below 76 °F or above 85 °F, keeping implied probabilities concentrated on the historical range. Updated NWS point forecasts and the evening observation on August 8 will resolve the market.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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