Ongoing heat and elevated dew points across the New York City region are keeping forecast overnight lows for August 8 anchored in the mid-to-upper 70s, with National Weather Service guidance and model consensus pointing to 76–79°F as the most probable range. A warm, humid airmass combined with expected cloud cover and scattered showers or thunderstorms limits radiational cooling, preventing temperatures from dropping toward the early-August climatological norm of the mid-60s. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this elevated floor, while traders price the narrow spread among the top three bins as reflecting uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late-day clearing that could allow slightly more cooling. Official observations from Central Park and surrounding stations will resolve the market based on the calendar-day minimum.