Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC's overnight low on August 7 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, reflecting a warm, humid maritime air mass under weak high pressure that limits radiational cooling. High dew points near 70°F and partial cloud cover reduce the temperature drop after sunset, while the urban heat island effect further moderates minima. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet slight variations in timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts keep 76–79°F bins closely matched in trader probabilities. Historical August lows average near 70°F, but the current pattern aligns with the Climate Prediction Center's warmer-than-average outlook, supporting elevated outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and early tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in NYC on August 7?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 7?
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 25%
74-75°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
7%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
28%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
25%
82-83°F
6%
84°F or higher
1%
78-79°F 30%
76-77°F 28%
80-81°F 25%
74-75°F 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 7, 2026
65°F or below
$10 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$49 Обс.
1%
68-69°F
$24 Обс.
1%
70-71°F
$24 Обс.
8%
72-73°F
$0 Обс.
7%
74-75°F
$18 Обс.
11%
76-77°F
$30 Обс.
28%
78-79°F
$15 Обс.
30%
80-81°F
$0 Обс.
25%
82-83°F
$8 Обс.
6%
84°F or higher
$19 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC's overnight low on August 7 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, reflecting a warm, humid maritime air mass under weak high pressure that limits radiational cooling. High dew points near 70°F and partial cloud cover reduce the temperature drop after sunset, while the urban heat island effect further moderates minima. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet slight variations in timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts keep 76–79°F bins closely matched in trader probabilities. Historical August lows average near 70°F, but the current pattern aligns with the Climate Prediction Center's warmer-than-average outlook, supporting elevated outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and early tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$196Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC's overnight low on August 7 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, reflecting a warm, humid maritime air mass under weak high pressure that limits radiational cooling. High dew points near 70°F and partial cloud cover reduce the temperature drop after sunset, while the urban heat island effect further moderates minima. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet slight variations in timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts keep 76–79°F bins closely matched in trader probabilities. Historical August lows average near 70°F, but the current pattern aligns with the Climate Prediction Center's warmer-than-average outlook, supporting elevated outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and early tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$196Дата завершення
Aug 7, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 5, 2026, 9:30 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate NYC's overnight low on August 7 will likely settle in the mid-to-upper 70s, reflecting a warm, humid maritime air mass under weak high pressure that limits radiational cooling. High dew points near 70°F and partial cloud cover reduce the temperature drop after sunset, while the urban heat island effect further moderates minima. Model consensus shows limited spread, yet slight variations in timing of any weak frontal passage or wind shifts keep 76–79°F bins closely matched in trader probabilities. Historical August lows average near 70°F, but the current pattern aligns with the Climate Prediction Center's warmer-than-average outlook, supporting elevated outcomes. Updated model runs tonight and early tomorrow will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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