Current model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts points to Moscow overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 22, shaped by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling overnight. Showers expected during the day further limit temperature drops by trapping heat and moderating the diurnal range. Key variables differentiating outcomes near 12°C versus cooler or warmer extremes include the exact timing of any frontal passage, wind speeds affecting mixing, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September minima average around 8–10°C, but this setup favors milder readings unless clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the lowest reading for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 22?
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
7°C or below
100%
8°C
40%
9°C
40%
10°C
40%
11°C
40%
12°C
40%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C or higher
98%
7°C or below 100%
17°C or higher 98%
8°C 40%
9°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 22, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
8°C
$0 Обс.
40%
9°C
$0 Обс.
40%
10°C
$0 Обс.
40%
11°C
$0 Обс.
40%
12°C
$0 Обс.
40%
13°C
$0 Обс.
40%
14°C
$0 Обс.
40%
15°C
$0 Обс.
40%
16°C
$0 Обс.
40%
17°C or higher
$0 Обс.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts points to Moscow overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 22, shaped by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling overnight. Showers expected during the day further limit temperature drops by trapping heat and moderating the diurnal range. Key variables differentiating outcomes near 12°C versus cooler or warmer extremes include the exact timing of any frontal passage, wind speeds affecting mixing, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September minima average around 8–10°C, but this setup favors milder readings unless clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the lowest reading for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts points to Moscow overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 22, shaped by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling overnight. Showers expected during the day further limit temperature drops by trapping heat and moderating the diurnal range. Key variables differentiating outcomes near 12°C versus cooler or warmer extremes include the exact timing of any frontal passage, wind speeds affecting mixing, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September minima average around 8–10°C, but this setup favors milder readings unless clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the lowest reading for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources like GFS and regional forecasts points to Moscow overnight lows of 12–13°C on September 22, shaped by persistent southerly flow, high humidity, and widespread cloud cover that reduces radiative cooling overnight. Showers expected during the day further limit temperature drops by trapping heat and moderating the diurnal range. Key variables differentiating outcomes near 12°C versus cooler or warmer extremes include the exact timing of any frontal passage, wind speeds affecting mixing, and model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Historical September minima average around 8–10°C, but this setup favors milder readings unless clearer skies develop. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 48 hours will refine the lowest reading for market resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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