Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 20?
7°C 100%
5°C or below 94%
8°C 51%
6°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
5°C or below
94%
6°C
19%
7°C
100%
8°C
51%
9°C
2%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
7°C 100%
5°C or below 94%
8°C 51%
6°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Обс.
94%
6°C
$0 Обс.
19%
7°C
$15 Обс.
100%
8°C
$0 Обс.
51%
9°C
$3,712 Обс.
2%
10°C
$193 Обс.
<1%
11°C
$276 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
15°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,258Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,258Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the market for Moscow’s September 20 minimum temperature as finely balanced between 8 °C (55 %) and 5 °C or below (46 %) because model guidance and surface observations show marginal nocturnal cooling under variable cloud cover and light southwesterly flow. Clearer skies overnight enhance radiative heat loss from the surface, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed limits the drop; official forecasts from the Hydrometeorological Center place the low near 11–13 °C, yet small shifts in the position of a weak trough or timing of clearing can push readings several degrees lower. Historical September minima average around 7–9 °C, so the tight spread reflects uncertainty in how much additional cooling will occur before dawn. Updated model runs and real-time station data tonight will likely decide which outcome prevails.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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