Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on May 14?
Lowest temperature in Paris on May 14?
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$24,513 Обс.
$24,513 Обс.
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
7°C 100.0%
1°C or below <1%
2°C <1%
3°C <1%
$24,513 Обс.
$24,513 Обс.
1°C or below
No
2°C
No
3°C
No
4°C
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
Yes
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: May 11, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Official Météo-France observations from the Paris-Le Bourget Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm the lowest temperature on May 14, 2026, hit exactly 7°C around 01:00 local time, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and French models predicting 7–8°C lows amid an exceptional polar air descent. Cloudy skies, light rain (6.4 mm total), and moderate winds (up to 58 km/h) trapped heat near the surface, preventing a sharper nocturnal drop below seasonal norms of 9–10°C. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, with 100% implied probability on 7°C backed by real capital. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to rare post-preliminary data revisions by Météo-France, though station measurements are highly reliable; no further updates expected.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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