Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Paris for September 21 centers on 10–11°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show a narrow range of overnight minima under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, which promote radiative cooling without strong advection. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression separate the 10°C and 11°C outcomes, while colder solutions below 9°C require a more pronounced cold-air intrusion that current guidance does not support. Historical late-September climatology for the Paris region places typical overnight lows near 11–13°C, so the market-implied distribution reflects a modest cool anomaly. Updated model runs and surface observations through tonight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Paris on September 21?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 21?
10°C 38%
11°C 32%
9°C or below 28%
13°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
9°C or below
28%
10°C
38%
11°C
32%
12°C
8%
13°C
19%
14°C
3%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
10°C 38%
11°C 32%
9°C or below 28%
13°C 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 21, 2026
9°C or below
$403 Обс.
28%
10°C
$437 Обс.
38%
11°C
$839 Обс.
32%
12°C
$20 Обс.
8%
13°C
$20 Обс.
19%
14°C
$0 Обс.
3%
15°C
$0 Обс.
1%
16°C
$0 Обс.
1%
17°C
$0 Обс.
1%
18°C
$0 Обс.
1%
19°C or higher
$0 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Paris for September 21 centers on 10–11°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show a narrow range of overnight minima under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, which promote radiative cooling without strong advection. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression separate the 10°C and 11°C outcomes, while colder solutions below 9°C require a more pronounced cold-air intrusion that current guidance does not support. Historical late-September climatology for the Paris region places typical overnight lows near 11–13°C, so the market-implied distribution reflects a modest cool anomaly. Updated model runs and surface observations through tonight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,719Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Paris for September 21 centers on 10–11°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show a narrow range of overnight minima under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, which promote radiative cooling without strong advection. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression separate the 10°C and 11°C outcomes, while colder solutions below 9°C require a more pronounced cold-air intrusion that current guidance does not support. Historical late-September climatology for the Paris region places typical overnight lows near 11–13°C, so the market-implied distribution reflects a modest cool anomaly. Updated model runs and surface observations through tonight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,719Дата завершення
Sep 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 19, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the lowest temperature in Paris for September 21 centers on 10–11°C because ensemble forecasts from major models show a narrow range of overnight minima under clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds, which promote radiative cooling without strong advection. Subtle differences in boundary-layer mixing and dew-point depression separate the 10°C and 11°C outcomes, while colder solutions below 9°C require a more pronounced cold-air intrusion that current guidance does not support. Historical late-September climatology for the Paris region places typical overnight lows near 11–13°C, so the market-implied distribution reflects a modest cool anomaly. Updated model runs and surface observations through tonight will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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