Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely fall in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting northerly. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clear skies, supporting higher minima than the September climatological average near 18°C. Trader consensus around 18–20°C outcomes reflects model spread in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while the elevated probability on 15°C or below incorporates uncertainty from potential localized cooling or forecast revisions. Upcoming evening observations and refined model runs will clarify whether winds or humidity shifts push the low below or above key thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 20?
15°C or below 100%
18°C 50%
17°C 19%
16°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
15°C or below
100%
16°C
18%
17°C
19%
18°C
50%
19°C
50%
20°C
50%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
15°C or below 100%
18°C 50%
17°C 19%
16°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
15°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
16°C
$0 Обс.
18%
17°C
$0 Обс.
19%
18°C
$0 Обс.
50%
19°C
$22 Обс.
50%
20°C
$13 Обс.
50%
21°C
$16 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
25°C or higher
$31 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely fall in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting northerly. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clear skies, supporting higher minima than the September climatological average near 18°C. Trader consensus around 18–20°C outcomes reflects model spread in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while the elevated probability on 15°C or below incorporates uncertainty from potential localized cooling or forecast revisions. Upcoming evening observations and refined model runs will clarify whether winds or humidity shifts push the low below or above key thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$175Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely fall in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting northerly. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clear skies, supporting higher minima than the September climatological average near 18°C. Trader consensus around 18–20°C outcomes reflects model spread in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while the elevated probability on 15°C or below incorporates uncertainty from potential localized cooling or forecast revisions. Upcoming evening observations and refined model runs will clarify whether winds or humidity shifts push the low below or above key thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$175Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Qingdao's minimum temperature on September 20 will likely fall in the low 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies and light variable winds shifting northerly. These conditions limit overnight radiative cooling compared to clear skies, supporting higher minima than the September climatological average near 18°C. Trader consensus around 18–20°C outcomes reflects model spread in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing, while the elevated probability on 15°C or below incorporates uncertainty from potential localized cooling or forecast revisions. Upcoming evening observations and refined model runs will clarify whether winds or humidity shifts push the low below or above key thresholds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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