Trader consensus on a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11 reflects the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and supporting model consensus pointing to a morning minimum near that threshold. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, which moderate overnight radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures from dropping further amid moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with early-June climatology for Seoul, where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C, and current ensemble runs show limited variability in steering patterns or instability. The 97.8% implied probability captures this tight clustering around verified observational baselines. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight that could enhance cooling to 15°C or localized urban heat effects nudging readings slightly higher, though forecast updates through the evening window would be required to shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Seoul on June 11?
Lowest temperature in Seoul on June 11?
16°C 97.8%
15°C 2.1%
14°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
$31,638 Обс.
$31,638 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
98%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 97.8%
15°C 2.1%
14°C <1%
11°C or below <1%
$31,638 Обс.
$31,638 Обс.
Jun 11, 2026
11°C or below
$557 Обс.
<1%
12°C
$571 Обс.
<1%
13°C
$845 Обс.
<1%
14°C
$2,094 Обс.
<1%
15°C
$2,803 Обс.
2%
16°C
$10,627 Обс.
98%
17°C
$1,984 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$10,966 Обс.
<1%
19°C
$772 Обс.
<1%
20°C
$481 Обс.
<1%
21°C or higher
$454 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11 reflects the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and supporting model consensus pointing to a morning minimum near that threshold. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, which moderate overnight radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures from dropping further amid moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with early-June climatology for Seoul, where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C, and current ensemble runs show limited variability in steering patterns or instability. The 97.8% implied probability captures this tight clustering around verified observational baselines. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight that could enhance cooling to 15°C or localized urban heat effects nudging readings slightly higher, though forecast updates through the evening window would be required to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,638Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11 reflects the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and supporting model consensus pointing to a morning minimum near that threshold. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, which moderate overnight radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures from dropping further amid moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with early-June climatology for Seoul, where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C, and current ensemble runs show limited variability in steering patterns or instability. The 97.8% implied probability captures this tight clustering around verified observational baselines. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight that could enhance cooling to 15°C or localized urban heat effects nudging readings slightly higher, though forecast updates through the evening window would be required to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$31,638Дата завершення
Jun 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on a 16°C low for Seoul on June 11 reflects the latest Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and supporting model consensus pointing to a morning minimum near that threshold. Official forecasts indicate mostly cloudy skies with showers or thunderstorms, which moderate overnight radiative cooling and keep surface temperatures from dropping further amid moderate humidity and light winds. This aligns closely with early-June climatology for Seoul, where typical overnight lows range 15–17°C, and current ensemble runs show limited variability in steering patterns or instability. The 97.8% implied probability captures this tight clustering around verified observational baselines. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing overnight that could enhance cooling to 15°C or localized urban heat effects nudging readings slightly higher, though forecast updates through the evening window would be required to shift the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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