**Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shenzhen's daily minimum temperature on September 12, 2026, will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 64.8% implied probability.** September climatology for the region features average lows near 24–26°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with current observations showing overnight readings holding around 24–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. No strong cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged to drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 21°C or below near even while warmer thresholds like 28°C+ remain negligible. Ongoing rain chances may moderate radiative cooling but are unlikely to alter the core temperature trajectory before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 12?
21°C or below 100%
22°C 100%
27°C 65.8%
23°C 56%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
100%
22°C
100%
23°C
56%
24°C
56%
25°C
40%
26°C
32%
27°C
66%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 100%
22°C 100%
27°C 65.8%
23°C 56%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
21°C or below
$0 Обс.
100%
22°C
$0 Обс.
100%
23°C
$15 Обс.
56%
24°C
$47 Обс.
56%
25°C
$31 Обс.
40%
26°C
$52 Обс.
32%
27°C
$76 Обс.
66%
28°C
$30 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$45 Обс.
<1%
30°C
$35 Обс.
<1%
31°C or higher
$25 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shenzhen's daily minimum temperature on September 12, 2026, will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 64.8% implied probability.**
September climatology for the region features average lows near 24–26°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with current observations showing overnight readings holding around 24–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. No strong cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged to drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 21°C or below near even while warmer thresholds like 28°C+ remain negligible. Ongoing rain chances may moderate radiative cooling but are unlikely to alter the core temperature trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$356Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shenzhen's daily minimum temperature on September 12, 2026, will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 64.8% implied probability.**
September climatology for the region features average lows near 24–26°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with current observations showing overnight readings holding around 24–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. No strong cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged to drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 21°C or below near even while warmer thresholds like 28°C+ remain negligible. Ongoing rain chances may moderate radiative cooling but are unlikely to alter the core temperature trajectory before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$356Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:30 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies and meteorological services indicate Shenzhen's daily minimum temperature on September 12, 2026, will likely fall in the mid-20s°C range, aligning with the market's leading 27°C outcome at 64.8% implied probability.** September climatology for the region features average lows near 24–26°C amid humid subtropical conditions, with current observations showing overnight readings holding around 24–27°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly flow. No strong cold fronts or atypical steering patterns have emerged to drive sharper drops, keeping probabilities for 21°C or below near even while warmer thresholds like 28°C+ remain negligible. Ongoing rain chances may moderate radiative cooling but are unlikely to alter the core temperature trajectory before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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