Trader consensus shows nearly even market-implied odds for extremes below 19°C or above 29°C on the lowest Tel Aviv temperature for September 12, reflecting uncertainty around nocturnal minima despite stable forecasts. Multiple models, including those from the Met Office and regional sources, project overnight lows near 24–25°C under clear skies and light northwesterly winds typical of Mediterranean late-summer high pressure. Factors such as urban heat retention, humidity levels around 70–90%, and minimal cloud cover influence radiative cooling rates, while historical September averages hover near 23–25°C minima. Small shifts in wind or boundary-layer conditions could alter the exact reading, with fresh ensemble updates from numerical weather prediction systems due soon to refine trader assessments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 12?
19°C or below 90%
29°C or higher 87%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
19°C or below
90%
20°C
20%
21°C
20%
22°C
20%
23°C
11%
24°C
26%
25°C
40%
26°C
40%
27°C
38%
28°C
38%
29°C or higher
87%
19°C or below 90%
29°C or higher 87%
25°C 40%
26°C 40%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 12, 2026
19°C or below
$0 Обс.
90%
20°C
$0 Обс.
20%
21°C
$0 Обс.
20%
22°C
$0 Обс.
20%
23°C
$0 Обс.
11%
24°C
$0 Обс.
26%
25°C
$0 Обс.
40%
26°C
$0 Обс.
40%
27°C
$0 Обс.
38%
28°C
$0 Обс.
38%
29°C or higher
$0 Обс.
87%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows nearly even market-implied odds for extremes below 19°C or above 29°C on the lowest Tel Aviv temperature for September 12, reflecting uncertainty around nocturnal minima despite stable forecasts. Multiple models, including those from the Met Office and regional sources, project overnight lows near 24–25°C under clear skies and light northwesterly winds typical of Mediterranean late-summer high pressure. Factors such as urban heat retention, humidity levels around 70–90%, and minimal cloud cover influence radiative cooling rates, while historical September averages hover near 23–25°C minima. Small shifts in wind or boundary-layer conditions could alter the exact reading, with fresh ensemble updates from numerical weather prediction systems due soon to refine trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus shows nearly even market-implied odds for extremes below 19°C or above 29°C on the lowest Tel Aviv temperature for September 12, reflecting uncertainty around nocturnal minima despite stable forecasts. Multiple models, including those from the Met Office and regional sources, project overnight lows near 24–25°C under clear skies and light northwesterly winds typical of Mediterranean late-summer high pressure. Factors such as urban heat retention, humidity levels around 70–90%, and minimal cloud cover influence radiative cooling rates, while historical September averages hover near 23–25°C minima. Small shifts in wind or boundary-layer conditions could alter the exact reading, with fresh ensemble updates from numerical weather prediction systems due soon to refine trader assessments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Sep 12, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus shows nearly even market-implied odds for extremes below 19°C or above 29°C on the lowest Tel Aviv temperature for September 12, reflecting uncertainty around nocturnal minima despite stable forecasts. Multiple models, including those from the Met Office and regional sources, project overnight lows near 24–25°C under clear skies and light northwesterly winds typical of Mediterranean late-summer high pressure. Factors such as urban heat retention, humidity levels around 70–90%, and minimal cloud cover influence radiative cooling rates, while historical September averages hover near 23–25°C minima. Small shifts in wind or boundary-layer conditions could alter the exact reading, with fresh ensemble updates from numerical weather prediction systems due soon to refine trader assessments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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