Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv’s overnight minimum on September 20 will likely settle near 23°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 22°C and 21°C implied probabilities. Radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and modest humidity near 60-70% favors temperatures in this narrow band, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed could limit the drop to 23–24°C. Historical September minima in the region average 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful but secondary weight to outcomes at or below 18°C. Updated model runs and official observations later today will refine the exact threshold as the night progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 20?
18°C or below 81%
21°C 51%
20°C 21%
19°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
81%
19°C
18%
20°C
21%
21°C
51%
22°C
-
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
18°C or below 81%
21°C 51%
20°C 21%
19°C 18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 20, 2026
18°C or below
$0 Обс.
81%
19°C
$0 Обс.
18%
20°C
$170 Обс.
21%
21°C
$1 Обс.
51%
22°C
$86 Обс.
-
23°C
$188 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$72 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$31 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$37 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$31 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv’s overnight minimum on September 20 will likely settle near 23°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 22°C and 21°C implied probabilities. Radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and modest humidity near 60-70% favors temperatures in this narrow band, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed could limit the drop to 23–24°C. Historical September minima in the region average 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful but secondary weight to outcomes at or below 18°C. Updated model runs and official observations later today will refine the exact threshold as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$653Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv’s overnight minimum on September 20 will likely settle near 23°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 22°C and 21°C implied probabilities. Radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and modest humidity near 60-70% favors temperatures in this narrow band, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed could limit the drop to 23–24°C. Historical September minima in the region average 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful but secondary weight to outcomes at or below 18°C. Updated model runs and official observations later today will refine the exact threshold as the night progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$653Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 18, 2026, 12:29 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Tel Aviv’s overnight minimum on September 20 will likely settle near 23°C under mostly clear skies and light northwesterly winds, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 22°C and 21°C implied probabilities. Radiative cooling under minimal cloud cover and modest humidity near 60-70% favors temperatures in this narrow band, while any increase in low-level moisture or wind speed could limit the drop to 23–24°C. Historical September minima in the region average 22–24°C, providing context for why traders assign meaningful but secondary weight to outcomes at or below 18°C. Updated model runs and official observations later today will refine the exact threshold as the night progresses.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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