**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain associated with a frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures in Tokyo elevated, with the latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models converging on a minimum near 21–22°C for September 6.** High humidity and thick cloud layers limit radiative cooling after sunset, while moderate northerly to northeasterly winds prevent sharper drops despite the rain-cooled air mass. Multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show hourly temperatures bottoming out around 20–22°C amid 80–100% rain probabilities and dew points near 19–21°C. This aligns with historical September norms for Tokyo under disturbed weather, where minima rarely fall below 20°C without clear skies. Traders have priced the tight clustering at 21°C (49.5%) and 22°C (35.5%) because model consensus remains stable within a narrow range, though final JMA updates or any late intensification of the rain could nudge the exact recorded low by 1°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on September 6?
21°C 50%
22°C 36%
20°C 12%
19°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
8%
20°C
12%
21°C
50%
22°C
36%
23°C
4%
24°C
6%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
21°C 50%
22°C 36%
20°C 12%
19°C 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Обс.
<1%
18°C
$0 Обс.
1%
19°C
$0 Обс.
8%
20°C
$478 Обс.
12%
21°C
$148 Обс.
50%
22°C
$395 Обс.
36%
23°C
$0 Обс.
4%
24°C
$0 Обс.
6%
25°C
$0 Обс.
1%
26°C
$0 Обс.
<1%
27°C or higher
$0 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain associated with a frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures in Tokyo elevated, with the latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models converging on a minimum near 21–22°C for September 6.**
High humidity and thick cloud layers limit radiative cooling after sunset, while moderate northerly to northeasterly winds prevent sharper drops despite the rain-cooled air mass. Multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show hourly temperatures bottoming out around 20–22°C amid 80–100% rain probabilities and dew points near 19–21°C. This aligns with historical September norms for Tokyo under disturbed weather, where minima rarely fall below 20°C without clear skies.
Traders have priced the tight clustering at 21°C (49.5%) and 22°C (35.5%) because model consensus remains stable within a narrow range, though final JMA updates or any late intensification of the rain could nudge the exact recorded low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,021Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain associated with a frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures in Tokyo elevated, with the latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models converging on a minimum near 21–22°C for September 6.**
High humidity and thick cloud layers limit radiative cooling after sunset, while moderate northerly to northeasterly winds prevent sharper drops despite the rain-cooled air mass. Multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show hourly temperatures bottoming out around 20–22°C amid 80–100% rain probabilities and dew points near 19–21°C. This aligns with historical September norms for Tokyo under disturbed weather, where minima rarely fall below 20°C without clear skies.
Traders have priced the tight clustering at 21°C (49.5%) and 22°C (35.5%) because model consensus remains stable within a narrow range, though final JMA updates or any late intensification of the rain could nudge the exact recorded low by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,021Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 4, 2026, 12:29 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and widespread rain associated with a frontal system are keeping overnight temperatures in Tokyo elevated, with the latest forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and global models converging on a minimum near 21–22°C for September 6.** High humidity and thick cloud layers limit radiative cooling after sunset, while moderate northerly to northeasterly winds prevent sharper drops despite the rain-cooled air mass. Multiple sources, including ECMWF and GFS runs, show hourly temperatures bottoming out around 20–22°C amid 80–100% rain probabilities and dew points near 19–21°C. This aligns with historical September norms for Tokyo under disturbed weather, where minima rarely fall below 20°C without clear skies. Traders have priced the tight clustering at 21°C (49.5%) and 22°C (35.5%) because model consensus remains stable within a narrow range, though final JMA updates or any late intensification of the rain could nudge the exact recorded low by 1°C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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