**Nicolás Maduro faces a June 1, 2027, trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses.** He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty in January 2026 after their capture in a U.S. military raid ordered by President Trump. Defense counsel plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and contest the legality of the apprehension, with initial motions due in early September 2026 and arguments set for November. The 76% trader consensus on “No” reflects the extended pretrial timeline, multiple procedural hurdles, and structural barriers to securing guilty verdicts on every count by the December 31, 2027, market resolution. These include voluminous discovery in a multi-defendant conspiracy case, potential immunity or jurisdictional challenges that could narrow or dismiss charges before trial, and the inherent difficulty of obtaining unanimous jury findings across all allegations. Partial acquittals, plea outcomes, or unresolved motions would resolve the market to “No.” No developments since the July 2026 hearing have altered these dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено24% шанс
$132,738 Обс.
$132,738 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
24% шанс
$132,738 Обс.
$132,738 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro faces a June 1, 2027, trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses.** He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty in January 2026 after their capture in a U.S. military raid ordered by President Trump. Defense counsel plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and contest the legality of the apprehension, with initial motions due in early September 2026 and arguments set for November.
The 76% trader consensus on “No” reflects the extended pretrial timeline, multiple procedural hurdles, and structural barriers to securing guilty verdicts on every count by the December 31, 2027, market resolution. These include voluminous discovery in a multi-defendant conspiracy case, potential immunity or jurisdictional challenges that could narrow or dismiss charges before trial, and the inherent difficulty of obtaining unanimous jury findings across all allegations. Partial acquittals, plea outcomes, or unresolved motions would resolve the market to “No.” No developments since the July 2026 hearing have altered these dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$132,738Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Nicolás Maduro faces a June 1, 2027, trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses.** He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty in January 2026 after their capture in a U.S. military raid ordered by President Trump. Defense counsel plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and contest the legality of the apprehension, with initial motions due in early September 2026 and arguments set for November.
The 76% trader consensus on “No” reflects the extended pretrial timeline, multiple procedural hurdles, and structural barriers to securing guilty verdicts on every count by the December 31, 2027, market resolution. These include voluminous discovery in a multi-defendant conspiracy case, potential immunity or jurisdictional challenges that could narrow or dismiss charges before trial, and the inherent difficulty of obtaining unanimous jury findings across all allegations. Partial acquittals, plea outcomes, or unresolved motions would resolve the market to “No.” No developments since the July 2026 hearing have altered these dynamics.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is found guilty of all counts in the indictment 'UNITED STATES OF AMERICA V. NICOLAS MADURO MOROS[...]' (S4 11 Cr. 205 (AKH)) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve based on the initial verdict rendered by the court regarding Maduro’s indictment as of market creation (https://www.justice.gov/opa/media/1422326/dl).
If Nicolás Maduro is not found guilty of all counts in the referenced indictment by the resolution time, this market will resolve to “No.” This includes any outcome in which no trial occurs, or that does not result in a guilty verdict or a court-accepted guilty plea on all counts, such as acquittal on any count, partial conviction, mistrial, hung jury, or dismissal of any count.
The market will resolve according to the initial verdict rendered in this case. Any appeals will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$132,738Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Nicolás Maduro faces a June 1, 2027, trial in Manhattan federal court on a four-count superseding indictment charging narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and related weapons offenses.** He and his wife Cilia Flores pleaded not guilty in January 2026 after their capture in a U.S. military raid ordered by President Trump. Defense counsel plans to seek dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds and contest the legality of the apprehension, with initial motions due in early September 2026 and arguments set for November. The 76% trader consensus on “No” reflects the extended pretrial timeline, multiple procedural hurdles, and structural barriers to securing guilty verdicts on every count by the December 31, 2027, market resolution. These include voluminous discovery in a multi-defendant conspiracy case, potential immunity or jurisdictional challenges that could narrow or dismiss charges before trial, and the inherent difficulty of obtaining unanimous jury findings across all allegations. Partial acquittals, plea outcomes, or unresolved motions would resolve the market to “No.” No developments since the July 2026 hearing have altered these dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання