Recent primary results on June 2 established the general election matchup in Montana’s open 1st district between Democrat Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader, and Republican Aaron Flint, a radio host endorsed by President Trump. The seat, vacated by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke after his 2024 win by roughly eight points, sits in a district with a modest Republican lean per partisan voting indexes and forecaster ratings. Trader pricing remains tight because both nominees emerged from contested primaries with limited prior statewide visibility, leaving room for shifts in turnout, fundraising, and messaging on local issues such as public lands and the economy. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate debates, fall advertising campaigns, and any national political developments that could alter voter sentiment before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMT-01 House Election Winner
MT-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
56%
Democratic Party
45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$1,099 Обс.
56%
Democratic Party
$662 Обс.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent primary results on June 2 established the general election matchup in Montana’s open 1st district between Democrat Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader, and Republican Aaron Flint, a radio host endorsed by President Trump. The seat, vacated by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke after his 2024 win by roughly eight points, sits in a district with a modest Republican lean per partisan voting indexes and forecaster ratings. Trader pricing remains tight because both nominees emerged from contested primaries with limited prior statewide visibility, leaving room for shifts in turnout, fundraising, and messaging on local issues such as public lands and the economy. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate debates, fall advertising campaigns, and any national political developments that could alter voter sentiment before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,761Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent primary results on June 2 established the general election matchup in Montana’s open 1st district between Democrat Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader, and Republican Aaron Flint, a radio host endorsed by President Trump. The seat, vacated by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke after his 2024 win by roughly eight points, sits in a district with a modest Republican lean per partisan voting indexes and forecaster ratings. Trader pricing remains tight because both nominees emerged from contested primaries with limited prior statewide visibility, leaving room for shifts in turnout, fundraising, and messaging on local issues such as public lands and the economy. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate debates, fall advertising campaigns, and any national political developments that could alter voter sentiment before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,761Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent primary results on June 2 established the general election matchup in Montana’s open 1st district between Democrat Sam Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader, and Republican Aaron Flint, a radio host endorsed by President Trump. The seat, vacated by retiring Republican Ryan Zinke after his 2024 win by roughly eight points, sits in a district with a modest Republican lean per partisan voting indexes and forecaster ratings. Trader pricing remains tight because both nominees emerged from contested primaries with limited prior statewide visibility, leaving room for shifts in turnout, fundraising, and messaging on local issues such as public lands and the economy. Key upcoming catalysts include candidate debates, fall advertising campaigns, and any national political developments that could alter voter sentiment before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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