**Nebraska's 2nd congressional district features an open seat following Republican incumbent Don Bacon's retirement, creating a top Democratic pickup opportunity in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3.** The May 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Denise Powell, who narrowly defeated state Sen. John Cavanaugh, and Republican nominee Brinker Harding, who ran unopposed after other candidates withdrew. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report (Lean Democratic), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Lean Democratic), and Decision Desk HQ (Likely Democratic) rate the general election as favoring Democrats due to the district's suburban Omaha base and recent presidential voting patterns. Recent developments include Powell outraising Harding in the latest quarterly reports while both candidates hold roughly comparable cash reserves, alongside early outside spending by House Majority PAC and the Congressional Leadership Fund. These factors align with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an implied probability near 79 percent for the November 2026 general election outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNE-02 House Election Winner
NE-02 House Election Winner
$37,447 Обс.
$37,447 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
79%
Republican Party
16%
$37,447 Обс.
$37,447 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$32,517 Обс.
79%
Republican Party
$4,931 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Nebraska's 2nd congressional district features an open seat following Republican incumbent Don Bacon's retirement, creating a top Democratic pickup opportunity in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3.** The May 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Denise Powell, who narrowly defeated state Sen. John Cavanaugh, and Republican nominee Brinker Harding, who ran unopposed after other candidates withdrew. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report (Lean Democratic), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Lean Democratic), and Decision Desk HQ (Likely Democratic) rate the general election as favoring Democrats due to the district's suburban Omaha base and recent presidential voting patterns. Recent developments include Powell outraising Harding in the latest quarterly reports while both candidates hold roughly comparable cash reserves, alongside early outside spending by House Majority PAC and the Congressional Leadership Fund. These factors align with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an implied probability near 79 percent for the November 2026 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$37,447Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Nebraska's 2nd congressional district features an open seat following Republican incumbent Don Bacon's retirement, creating a top Democratic pickup opportunity in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3.** The May 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Denise Powell, who narrowly defeated state Sen. John Cavanaugh, and Republican nominee Brinker Harding, who ran unopposed after other candidates withdrew. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report (Lean Democratic), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Lean Democratic), and Decision Desk HQ (Likely Democratic) rate the general election as favoring Democrats due to the district's suburban Omaha base and recent presidential voting patterns. Recent developments include Powell outraising Harding in the latest quarterly reports while both candidates hold roughly comparable cash reserves, alongside early outside spending by House Majority PAC and the Congressional Leadership Fund. These factors align with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an implied probability near 79 percent for the November 2026 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$37,447Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Nebraska's 2nd congressional district features an open seat following Republican incumbent Don Bacon's retirement, creating a top Democratic pickup opportunity in a district with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3.** The May 2026 primaries produced Democratic nominee Denise Powell, who narrowly defeated state Sen. John Cavanaugh, and Republican nominee Brinker Harding, who ran unopposed after other candidates withdrew. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report (Lean Democratic), Sabato's Crystal Ball (Lean Democratic), and Decision Desk HQ (Likely Democratic) rate the general election as favoring Democrats due to the district's suburban Omaha base and recent presidential voting patterns. Recent developments include Powell outraising Harding in the latest quarterly reports while both candidates hold roughly comparable cash reserves, alongside early outside spending by House Majority PAC and the Congressional Leadership Fund. These factors align with trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an implied probability near 79 percent for the November 2026 general election outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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