Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Omaha metro area with a Cook PVI of D+3, features an open seat after Republican incumbent Don Bacon opted against re-election. Democrat Denise Powell secured the nomination in a narrow May 2026 primary victory over state Sen. John Cavanaugh, consolidating the field ahead of the November general election against Republican Brinker Harding, an Omaha city councilor who faced limited primary opposition. The district's recent split-ticket voting patterns and status as a Democratic target have shaped trader positioning, with the Democratic nominee holding a clear edge in implied probability. Upcoming campaign developments and any shifts in local turnout dynamics remain key variables through Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNE-02 House Election Winner
NE-02 House Election Winner
$28,808 Обс.
$28,808 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
79%
Republican Party
21%
$28,808 Обс.
$28,808 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$27,918 Обс.
79%
Republican Party
$889 Обс.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Omaha metro area with a Cook PVI of D+3, features an open seat after Republican incumbent Don Bacon opted against re-election. Democrat Denise Powell secured the nomination in a narrow May 2026 primary victory over state Sen. John Cavanaugh, consolidating the field ahead of the November general election against Republican Brinker Harding, an Omaha city councilor who faced limited primary opposition. The district's recent split-ticket voting patterns and status as a Democratic target have shaped trader positioning, with the Democratic nominee holding a clear edge in implied probability. Upcoming campaign developments and any shifts in local turnout dynamics remain key variables through Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$28,808Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Omaha metro area with a Cook PVI of D+3, features an open seat after Republican incumbent Don Bacon opted against re-election. Democrat Denise Powell secured the nomination in a narrow May 2026 primary victory over state Sen. John Cavanaugh, consolidating the field ahead of the November general election against Republican Brinker Harding, an Omaha city councilor who faced limited primary opposition. The district's recent split-ticket voting patterns and status as a Democratic target have shaped trader positioning, with the Democratic nominee holding a clear edge in implied probability. Upcoming campaign developments and any shifts in local turnout dynamics remain key variables through Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,808Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, anchored in the Omaha metro area with a Cook PVI of D+3, features an open seat after Republican incumbent Don Bacon opted against re-election. Democrat Denise Powell secured the nomination in a narrow May 2026 primary victory over state Sen. John Cavanaugh, consolidating the field ahead of the November general election against Republican Brinker Harding, an Omaha city councilor who faced limited primary opposition. The district's recent split-ticket voting patterns and status as a Democratic target have shaped trader positioning, with the Democratic nominee holding a clear edge in implied probability. Upcoming campaign developments and any shifts in local turnout dynamics remain key variables through Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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