New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District features an open seat in 2026 after longtime Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas entered the U.S. Senate race. Major forecasters rate the general election Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s modest partisan edge and recent statewide polling showing Democrats ahead on the generic congressional ballot by double digits. A late August Saint Anselm College survey found Democratic primary contenders Maura Sullivan and Stefany Shaheen leading a crowded field while Republicans trail overall, consistent with broader midterm headwinds for the GOP. These factors underpin trader consensus heavily favoring the eventual Democratic nominee over Republican primary frontrunners. The September 8 primaries and November general remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNH-01 House Election Winner
NH-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,848 Обс.
86%
Republican Party
$3,096 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District features an open seat in 2026 after longtime Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas entered the U.S. Senate race. Major forecasters rate the general election Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s modest partisan edge and recent statewide polling showing Democrats ahead on the generic congressional ballot by double digits. A late August Saint Anselm College survey found Democratic primary contenders Maura Sullivan and Stefany Shaheen leading a crowded field while Republicans trail overall, consistent with broader midterm headwinds for the GOP. These factors underpin trader consensus heavily favoring the eventual Democratic nominee over Republican primary frontrunners. The September 8 primaries and November general remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,945Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District features an open seat in 2026 after longtime Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas entered the U.S. Senate race. Major forecasters rate the general election Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s modest partisan edge and recent statewide polling showing Democrats ahead on the generic congressional ballot by double digits. A late August Saint Anselm College survey found Democratic primary contenders Maura Sullivan and Stefany Shaheen leading a crowded field while Republicans trail overall, consistent with broader midterm headwinds for the GOP. These factors underpin trader consensus heavily favoring the eventual Democratic nominee over Republican primary frontrunners. The September 8 primaries and November general remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,945Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Hampshire’s 1st Congressional District features an open seat in 2026 after longtime Democratic incumbent Chris Pappas entered the U.S. Senate race. Major forecasters rate the general election Likely or Lean Democratic, reflecting the district’s modest partisan edge and recent statewide polling showing Democrats ahead on the generic congressional ballot by double digits. A late August Saint Anselm College survey found Democratic primary contenders Maura Sullivan and Stefany Shaheen leading a crowded field while Republicans trail overall, consistent with broader midterm headwinds for the GOP. These factors underpin trader consensus heavily favoring the eventual Democratic nominee over Republican primary frontrunners. The September 8 primaries and November general remain the key near-term catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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