Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, while Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell emerged from a competitive GOP primary. The district, encompassing western Las Vegas suburbs, carries a Cook Political Report Lean Democratic rating and a partisan voting index of D+1, consistent with Lee's narrow 51.4 percent general election victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 84.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, modest district lean, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive baseline ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNV-03 House Election Winner
NV-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,570 Обс.
85%
Republican Party
$379 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, while Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell emerged from a competitive GOP primary. The district, encompassing western Las Vegas suburbs, carries a Cook Political Report Lean Democratic rating and a partisan voting index of D+1, consistent with Lee's narrow 51.4 percent general election victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 84.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, modest district lean, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive baseline ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,949Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, while Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell emerged from a competitive GOP primary. The district, encompassing western Las Vegas suburbs, carries a Cook Political Report Lean Democratic rating and a partisan voting index of D+1, consistent with Lee's narrow 51.4 percent general election victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 84.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, modest district lean, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive baseline ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,949Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Susie Lee secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 70 percent of the vote in Nevada's 3rd congressional district, while Republican nominee Marty O'Donnell emerged from a competitive GOP primary. The district, encompassing western Las Vegas suburbs, carries a Cook Political Report Lean Democratic rating and a partisan voting index of D+1, consistent with Lee's narrow 51.4 percent general election victory in 2024. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 84.5 percent implied probability of holding the seat, reflecting the structural advantages of incumbency, modest district lean, and absence of major recent developments that would alter the competitive baseline ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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