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icon for Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

icon for Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?

2% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
2% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senator Ruben Gallego continues to fulfill his duties as Arizona’s junior senator with no verified developments indicating an imminent departure before the end of May. An April ethics complaint referral tied to his past association with former representative Eric Swalwell has not produced committee findings, Senate action, or public pressure sufficient to force resignation or expulsion. Gallego remains actively engaged in legislative priorities, including recent committee advancement of cryptocurrency regulation measures. Traders assign a 98 percent probability he will stay in office through the deadline because Senate terms run until 2031 and removal requires either voluntary resignation, death, or a supermajority expulsion vote that faces high procedural hurdles. Only a sudden health crisis or explosive new evidence from the ethics process could realistically alter that outlook within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3,649
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Senator Ruben Gallego continues to fulfill his duties as Arizona’s junior senator with no verified developments indicating an imminent departure before the end of May. An April ethics complaint referral tied to his past association with former representative Eric Swalwell has not produced committee findings, Senate action, or public pressure sufficient to force resignation or expulsion. Gallego remains actively engaged in legislative priorities, including recent committee advancement of cryptocurrency regulation measures. Traders assign a 98 percent probability he will stay in office through the deadline because Senate terms run until 2031 and removal requires either voluntary resignation, death, or a supermajority expulsion vote that faces high procedural hurdles. Only a sudden health crisis or explosive new evidence from the ethics process could realistically alter that outlook within the narrow window.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3,649
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 14, 2026, 4:55 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ruben Gallego ceases to be United States Senator from Arizona for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Gallego's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Ruben Gallego and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 2% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 2¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 2%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 14, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?» — 2% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 2% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Ruben Gallego out as US Senator by May 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.