Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.6 Flash releases, which posted strong results on math-focused evaluations such as GPQA Diamond, FrontierMath, and competition-style problems, drive the market's 57% implied probability for second place on Text Arena Math by August 31. These updates leverage DeepMind's long-standing symbolic-reasoning expertise and tight hardware-software integration, positioning the lab just behind leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol or Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 that currently top select LiveBench and MathArena leaderboards. The race remains tight because new Arena votes and incremental model drops can quickly reorder outcomes, while Chinese labs including Alibaba and DeepSeek exert pressure through rapid iteration and cost-efficient performance. Traders weigh Google's proven benchmark trajectory and release cadence against the risk of last-minute shifts from competitors before month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of August?
Google 57%
Alibaba 25.2%
Anthropic 9%
OpenAI 4.0%
$34,677 Обс.
$34,677 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
57%
Alibaba
24%
Anthropic
9%
OpenAI
4%
DeepSeek
1%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Moonshot
1%
Meta
1%
Baidu
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Google 57%
Alibaba 25.2%
Anthropic 9%
OpenAI 4.0%
$34,677 Обс.
$34,677 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
$11,560 Обс.
57%
Alibaba
$2,813 Обс.
24%
Anthropic
$7,099 Обс.
9%
OpenAI
$1,359 Обс.
4%
DeepSeek
$895 Обс.
1%
Z.ai
$893 Обс.
1%
SpaceXAI
$871 Обс.
1%
Moonshot
$698 Обс.
1%
Meta
$1,271 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$954 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$777 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$777 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$667 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$504 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$500 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$709 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$556 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$482 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$715 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$577 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.6 Flash releases, which posted strong results on math-focused evaluations such as GPQA Diamond, FrontierMath, and competition-style problems, drive the market's 57% implied probability for second place on Text Arena Math by August 31. These updates leverage DeepMind's long-standing symbolic-reasoning expertise and tight hardware-software integration, positioning the lab just behind leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol or Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 that currently top select LiveBench and MathArena leaderboards. The race remains tight because new Arena votes and incremental model drops can quickly reorder outcomes, while Chinese labs including Alibaba and DeepSeek exert pressure through rapid iteration and cost-efficient performance. Traders weigh Google's proven benchmark trajectory and release cadence against the risk of last-minute shifts from competitors before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ET
Обсяг
$34,677Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.6 Flash releases, which posted strong results on math-focused evaluations such as GPQA Diamond, FrontierMath, and competition-style problems, drive the market's 57% implied probability for second place on Text Arena Math by August 31. These updates leverage DeepMind's long-standing symbolic-reasoning expertise and tight hardware-software integration, positioning the lab just behind leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol or Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 that currently top select LiveBench and MathArena leaderboards. The race remains tight because new Arena votes and incremental model drops can quickly reorder outcomes, while Chinese labs including Alibaba and DeepSeek exert pressure through rapid iteration and cost-efficient performance. Traders weigh Google's proven benchmark trajectory and release cadence against the risk of last-minute shifts from competitors before month-end.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$34,677Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 8:43 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's recent Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.6 Flash releases, which posted strong results on math-focused evaluations such as GPQA Diamond, FrontierMath, and competition-style problems, drive the market's 57% implied probability for second place on Text Arena Math by August 31. These updates leverage DeepMind's long-standing symbolic-reasoning expertise and tight hardware-software integration, positioning the lab just behind leaders like OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol or Anthropic's Claude Opus 5 that currently top select LiveBench and MathArena leaderboards. The race remains tight because new Arena votes and incremental model drops can quickly reorder outcomes, while Chinese labs including Alibaba and DeepSeek exert pressure through rapid iteration and cost-efficient performance. Traders weigh Google's proven benchmark trajectory and release cadence against the risk of last-minute shifts from competitors before month-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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