Google's Gemini models hold a clear second-place ranking on the Text Arena Math leaderboard behind Anthropic's top entry, with a 1525 score versus 1537 as of mid-September 2026. This positioning reflects consistent recent gains in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and human-preference voting within the arena, outpacing OpenAI, Meta, and Chinese labs like Z.ai or Alibaba. Traders assign Google an 86.5% implied probability of finishing second by month-end because no major model releases or capability jumps from competitors have materialized in the past week to close the gap. Lower odds for OpenAI (6.9%) and others align with their trailing arena scores and lack of fresh math-specific updates near the resolution date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 87%
OpenAI 6.7%
Meta 2.6%
Anthropic 2.1%
$61,119 Обс.
$61,119 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
87%
OpenAI
7%
Meta
3%
Anthropic
2%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 87%
OpenAI 6.7%
Meta 2.6%
Anthropic 2.1%
$61,119 Обс.
$61,119 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
$20,386 Обс.
87%
OpenAI
$6,978 Обс.
7%
Meta
$1,620 Обс.
3%
Anthropic
$7,789 Обс.
2%
Moonshot
$1,803 Обс.
2%
Alibaba
$5,827 Обс.
2%
Z.ai
$1,741 Обс.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,332 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$1,368 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,482 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,689 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,272 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$1,302 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models hold a clear second-place ranking on the Text Arena Math leaderboard behind Anthropic's top entry, with a 1525 score versus 1537 as of mid-September 2026. This positioning reflects consistent recent gains in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and human-preference voting within the arena, outpacing OpenAI, Meta, and Chinese labs like Z.ai or Alibaba. Traders assign Google an 86.5% implied probability of finishing second by month-end because no major model releases or capability jumps from competitors have materialized in the past week to close the gap. Lower odds for OpenAI (6.9%) and others align with their trailing arena scores and lack of fresh math-specific updates near the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$61,119Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models hold a clear second-place ranking on the Text Arena Math leaderboard behind Anthropic's top entry, with a 1525 score versus 1537 as of mid-September 2026. This positioning reflects consistent recent gains in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and human-preference voting within the arena, outpacing OpenAI, Meta, and Chinese labs like Z.ai or Alibaba. Traders assign Google an 86.5% implied probability of finishing second by month-end because no major model releases or capability jumps from competitors have materialized in the past week to close the gap. Lower odds for OpenAI (6.9%) and others align with their trailing arena scores and lack of fresh math-specific updates near the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$61,119Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini models hold a clear second-place ranking on the Text Arena Math leaderboard behind Anthropic's top entry, with a 1525 score versus 1537 as of mid-September 2026. This positioning reflects consistent recent gains in mathematical reasoning benchmarks and human-preference voting within the arena, outpacing OpenAI, Meta, and Chinese labs like Z.ai or Alibaba. Traders assign Google an 86.5% implied probability of finishing second by month-end because no major model releases or capability jumps from competitors have materialized in the past week to close the gap. Lower odds for OpenAI (6.9%) and others align with their trailing arena scores and lack of fresh math-specific updates near the resolution date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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