Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 86%
OpenAI 7.9%
Meta 4.0%
Anthropic 2.3%
$61,074 Обс.
$61,074 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
86%
OpenAI
8%
Meta
4%
Anthropic
2%
Moonshot
2%
Alibaba
2%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 86%
OpenAI 7.9%
Meta 4.0%
Anthropic 2.3%
$61,074 Обс.
$61,074 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
$20,386 Обс.
86%
OpenAI
$6,978 Обс.
8%
Meta
$1,620 Обс.
4%
Anthropic
$7,789 Обс.
2%
Moonshot
$1,803 Обс.
2%
Alibaba
$5,827 Обс.
2%
Z.ai
$1,741 Обс.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,317 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$1,368 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,472 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,262 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,689 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$1,292 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$61,074Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$61,074Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Google's Gemini models anchor the 86% market-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30. The lab's Gemini 3.7 Flash High currently sits at #2 overall with strong math-category gains, trailing only Anthropic while ahead of Z.ai, Alibaba, Moonshot, and OpenAI entries. Recent Gemini updates improved math, instruction-following, and multi-turn scores, and a leaked internal Deep Think Mathematica build signals specialized reasoning capacity still in testing. With resolution imminent, traders view limited time for rivals to close the gap through new releases. OpenAI's recent GPT-6 Astra math breakthroughs and Chinese labs' iterative updates create the main residual uncertainty, yet current leaderboard positioning and release momentum favor Google holding the slot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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