The fragmented probabilities around 50% for Other and numerous contenders reflect intense competition among AI labs for third place in text-based math arenas by late September 2026, with no single leader emerging. Z.ai holds a modest edge at 44% implied odds due to recent model releases demonstrating strong benchmark gains in quantitative reasoning, while Alibaba and Google trail at 17% and 15% respectively on the strength of established large language model scaling and enterprise math tooling. Traders are weighing factors such as verified capability demonstrations, competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, and potential surprises from labs like DeepSeek or Moonshot in the remaining weeks, underscoring how quickly new training techniques or fine-tuning can shift rankings in this fast-moving field.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Z.ai 44.1%
Alibaba 18%
Google 14%
Meta 5.6%
$65,163 Обс.
$65,163 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Z.ai
44%
Alibaba
18%
14%
Meta
6%
OpenAI
5%
Moonshot
3%
SpaceXAI
2%
Xiaomi
1%
DeepSeek
1%
MiniMax
1%
Anthropic
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Z.ai 44.1%
Alibaba 18%
Google 14%
Meta 5.6%
$65,163 Обс.
$65,163 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Z.ai
$7,233 Обс.
44%
Alibaba
$14,076 Обс.
18%
$7,582 Обс.
14%
Meta
$1,947 Обс.
6%
OpenAI
$9,925 Обс.
5%
Moonshot
$2,787 Обс.
3%
SpaceXAI
$1,992 Обс.
2%
Xiaomi
$1,784 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,535 Обс.
1%
MiniMax
$2,639 Обс.
1%
Anthropic
$2,670 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$2,632 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$1,553 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$1,586 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$1,535 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$743 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$756 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$575 Обс.
<1%
Bytedance
$916 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$698 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The fragmented probabilities around 50% for Other and numerous contenders reflect intense competition among AI labs for third place in text-based math arenas by late September 2026, with no single leader emerging. Z.ai holds a modest edge at 44% implied odds due to recent model releases demonstrating strong benchmark gains in quantitative reasoning, while Alibaba and Google trail at 17% and 15% respectively on the strength of established large language model scaling and enterprise math tooling. Traders are weighing factors such as verified capability demonstrations, competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, and potential surprises from labs like DeepSeek or Moonshot in the remaining weeks, underscoring how quickly new training techniques or fine-tuning can shift rankings in this fast-moving field.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$65,163Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The fragmented probabilities around 50% for Other and numerous contenders reflect intense competition among AI labs for third place in text-based math arenas by late September 2026, with no single leader emerging. Z.ai holds a modest edge at 44% implied odds due to recent model releases demonstrating strong benchmark gains in quantitative reasoning, while Alibaba and Google trail at 17% and 15% respectively on the strength of established large language model scaling and enterprise math tooling. Traders are weighing factors such as verified capability demonstrations, competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, and potential surprises from labs like DeepSeek or Moonshot in the remaining weeks, underscoring how quickly new training techniques or fine-tuning can shift rankings in this fast-moving field.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$65,163Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 24, 2026, 7:55 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented probabilities around 50% for Other and numerous contenders reflect intense competition among AI labs for third place in text-based math arenas by late September 2026, with no single leader emerging. Z.ai holds a modest edge at 44% implied odds due to recent model releases demonstrating strong benchmark gains in quantitative reasoning, while Alibaba and Google trail at 17% and 15% respectively on the strength of established large language model scaling and enterprise math tooling. Traders are weighing factors such as verified capability demonstrations, competitive positioning against OpenAI and Anthropic, and potential surprises from labs like DeepSeek or Moonshot in the remaining weeks, underscoring how quickly new training techniques or fine-tuning can shift rankings in this fast-moving field.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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