SpaceX completed its record $75 billion IPO in mid-June 2026 at a $1.77 trillion valuation and began trading on Nasdaq, yet S&P 500 inclusion remains improbable this year. Committee guidelines require roughly 12 months of seasoning post-listing, sustained profitability—which the company has not yet demonstrated despite recent cash-flow positivity—and adequate public float. Standard & Poor’s has signaled adherence to these thresholds rather than expedited entry for mega-cap debuts. While Nasdaq-100 eligibility could arrive faster and index-fund demand may build over time, the S&P 500’s stricter criteria anchor the 92.5% market-implied odds against addition in 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$12,462 Обс.
$12,462 Обс.
Jan 1, 2027
$12,462 Обс.
$12,462 Обс.
Jan 1, 2027
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).SpaceX completed its record $75 billion IPO in mid-June 2026 at a $1.77 trillion valuation and began trading on Nasdaq, yet S&P 500 inclusion remains improbable this year. Committee guidelines require roughly 12 months of seasoning post-listing, sustained profitability—which the company has not yet demonstrated despite recent cash-flow positivity—and adequate public float. Standard & Poor’s has signaled adherence to these thresholds rather than expedited entry for mega-cap debuts. While Nasdaq-100 eligibility could arrive faster and index-fund demand may build over time, the S&P 500’s stricter criteria anchor the 92.5% market-implied odds against addition in 2026.
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,462Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).SpaceX completed its record $75 billion IPO in mid-June 2026 at a $1.77 trillion valuation and began trading on Nasdaq, yet S&P 500 inclusion remains improbable this year. Committee guidelines require roughly 12 months of seasoning post-listing, sustained profitability—which the company has not yet demonstrated despite recent cash-flow positivity—and adequate public float. Standard & Poor’s has signaled adherence to these thresholds rather than expedited entry for mega-cap debuts. While Nasdaq-100 eligibility could arrive faster and index-fund demand may build over time, the S&P 500’s stricter criteria anchor the 92.5% market-implied odds against addition in 2026.
The S&P 500 undergoes quarterly reconstitution on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if S&P Global Inc. announces that SpaceX will be added to the S&P 500 index by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
An announcement from S&P will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the listed company has actually been added to the S&P 500 index by the resolution date.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements from S&P Global Inc. (https://www.spglobal.com/en/press/press-release).
Обсяг
$12,462Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 1:42 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX completed its record $75 billion IPO in mid-June 2026 at a $1.77 trillion valuation and began trading on Nasdaq, yet S&P 500 inclusion remains improbable this year. Committee guidelines require roughly 12 months of seasoning post-listing, sustained profitability—which the company has not yet demonstrated despite recent cash-flow positivity—and adequate public float. Standard & Poor’s has signaled adherence to these thresholds rather than expedited entry for mega-cap debuts. While Nasdaq-100 eligibility could arrive faster and index-fund demand may build over time, the S&P 500’s stricter criteria anchor the 92.5% market-implied odds against addition in 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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