Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not undertake a space mission in 2026, driven by the absence of any official announcements, training schedules, or mission assignments from NASA, SpaceX, or the White House through mid-May. Logistical barriers include rigorous astronaut qualifications, months-long preparation, and Trump's presidential duties amid ongoing diplomatic engagements like his recent China visit. His April 29 White House meeting with Artemis II moonflyby astronauts, where he joked about personal fitness for space travel, sparked brief speculation but yielded no concrete plans. Realistic shifts would require an unprecedented executive announcement and SpaceX slot amid Starship tests, though age, health protocols, and policy priorities make this improbable before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоНОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not undertake a space mission in 2026, driven by the absence of any official announcements, training schedules, or mission assignments from NASA, SpaceX, or the White House through mid-May. Logistical barriers include rigorous astronaut qualifications, months-long preparation, and Trump's presidential duties amid ongoing diplomatic engagements like his recent China visit. His April 29 White House meeting with Artemis II moonflyby astronauts, where he joked about personal fitness for space travel, sparked brief speculation but yielded no concrete plans. Realistic shifts would require an unprecedented executive announcement and SpaceX slot amid Starship tests, though age, health protocols, and policy priorities make this improbable before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,707Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not undertake a space mission in 2026, driven by the absence of any official announcements, training schedules, or mission assignments from NASA, SpaceX, or the White House through mid-May. Logistical barriers include rigorous astronaut qualifications, months-long preparation, and Trump's presidential duties amid ongoing diplomatic engagements like his recent China visit. His April 29 White House meeting with Artemis II moonflyby astronauts, where he joked about personal fitness for space travel, sparked brief speculation but yielded no concrete plans. Realistic shifts would require an unprecedented executive announcement and SpaceX slot amid Starship tests, though age, health protocols, and policy priorities make this improbable before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump is physically aboard any aircraft or spacecraft that reaches or crosses the U.S. space threshold by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The U.S. space threshold is defined as 50 miles above mean sea level. Whether Donald Trump crosses the internationally recognized Karaman line will not impact this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$3,707Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certainty that President Trump will not undertake a space mission in 2026, driven by the absence of any official announcements, training schedules, or mission assignments from NASA, SpaceX, or the White House through mid-May. Logistical barriers include rigorous astronaut qualifications, months-long preparation, and Trump's presidential duties amid ongoing diplomatic engagements like his recent China visit. His April 29 White House meeting with Artemis II moonflyby astronauts, where he joked about personal fitness for space travel, sparked brief speculation but yielded no concrete plans. Realistic shifts would require an unprecedented executive announcement and SpaceX slot amid Starship tests, though age, health protocols, and policy priorities make this improbable before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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