Traders assign a 99.5% probability that President Trump will remain in office through June 30 because no impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocation, or resignation signals are active in Congress or the executive branch, and the twelve-day window leaves insufficient time for any constitutional removal process to conclude. Midterm elections remain more than two years away, and no recent legislative votes, cabinet actions, or court rulings have created momentum for early departure. While a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting immediate resignation, or unforeseen legal development could still shift the outcome, current primary-source indicators show no such developments underway.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
$8,928,999 Обс.
$8,928,999 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
Так
$8,928,999 Обс.
$8,928,999 Обс.
Jun 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 99.5% probability that President Trump will remain in office through June 30 because no impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocation, or resignation signals are active in Congress or the executive branch, and the twelve-day window leaves insufficient time for any constitutional removal process to conclude. Midterm elections remain more than two years away, and no recent legislative votes, cabinet actions, or court rulings have created momentum for early departure. While a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting immediate resignation, or unforeseen legal development could still shift the outcome, current primary-source indicators show no such developments underway.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Обсяг
$8,928,999Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 99.5% probability that President Trump will remain in office through June 30 because no impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocation, or resignation signals are active in Congress or the executive branch, and the twelve-day window leaves insufficient time for any constitutional removal process to conclude. Midterm elections remain more than two years away, and no recent legislative votes, cabinet actions, or court rulings have created momentum for early departure. While a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting immediate resignation, or unforeseen legal development could still shift the outcome, current primary-source indicators show no such developments underway.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$8,928,999Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 99.5% probability that President Trump will remain in office through June 30 because no impeachment proceedings, 25th Amendment invocation, or resignation signals are active in Congress or the executive branch, and the twelve-day window leaves insufficient time for any constitutional removal process to conclude. Midterm elections remain more than two years away, and no recent legislative votes, cabinet actions, or court rulings have created momentum for early departure. While a sudden health crisis, major scandal prompting immediate resignation, or unforeseen legal development could still shift the outcome, current primary-source indicators show no such developments underway.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання