Redistricting in Texas shifted the 9th congressional district boundaries, moving it from a longtime Democratic stronghold represented by Al Green to a more Republican-leaning area in eastern Houston suburbs, creating an open seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee Alex Mealer, a combat veteran and executive who secured the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory over state Rep. Briscoe Cain and received prominent endorsements. Democrat Leticia Gutierrez, an environmental advocate, faces the challenge of competing in the reconfigured district ahead of the November general election. Limited recent developments since the primaries have kept the implied probability stable, reflecting the district's partisan composition and historical voting patterns in comparable Texas seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-09 House Election Winner
TX-09 House Election Winner
$15,150 Обс.
$15,150 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
13%
$15,150 Обс.
$15,150 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$11,203 Обс.
86%
Democratic Party
$3,946 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in Texas shifted the 9th congressional district boundaries, moving it from a longtime Democratic stronghold represented by Al Green to a more Republican-leaning area in eastern Houston suburbs, creating an open seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee Alex Mealer, a combat veteran and executive who secured the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory over state Rep. Briscoe Cain and received prominent endorsements. Democrat Leticia Gutierrez, an environmental advocate, faces the challenge of competing in the reconfigured district ahead of the November general election. Limited recent developments since the primaries have kept the implied probability stable, reflecting the district's partisan composition and historical voting patterns in comparable Texas seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,150Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting in Texas shifted the 9th congressional district boundaries, moving it from a longtime Democratic stronghold represented by Al Green to a more Republican-leaning area in eastern Houston suburbs, creating an open seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee Alex Mealer, a combat veteran and executive who secured the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory over state Rep. Briscoe Cain and received prominent endorsements. Democrat Leticia Gutierrez, an environmental advocate, faces the challenge of competing in the reconfigured district ahead of the November general election. Limited recent developments since the primaries have kept the implied probability stable, reflecting the district's partisan composition and historical voting patterns in comparable Texas seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,150Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting in Texas shifted the 9th congressional district boundaries, moving it from a longtime Democratic stronghold represented by Al Green to a more Republican-leaning area in eastern Houston suburbs, creating an open seat rated Solid Republican by major forecasters. This structural change underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee Alex Mealer, a combat veteran and executive who secured the nomination after a May 2026 runoff victory over state Rep. Briscoe Cain and received prominent endorsements. Democrat Leticia Gutierrez, an environmental advocate, faces the challenge of competing in the reconfigured district ahead of the November general election. Limited recent developments since the primaries have kept the implied probability stable, reflecting the district's partisan composition and historical voting patterns in comparable Texas seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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