Recent U.S. military engagements, including operations tied to the conflict with Iran, have prompted updates to Selective Service procedures but no authorization for a draft. In December 2025, Congress passed and President Trump signed the 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, which mandates automatic registration of eligible men ages 18-26 through federal data integration starting December 2026. This step improves administrative readiness without amending the Military Selective Service Act to permit conscription. Actual draft authorization would require separate congressional legislation and presidential approval during a national emergency exceeding volunteer recruitment capacity. No such measures have advanced, and the Selective Service System continues to state that no draft is in effect. These factors sustain trader consensus around a low probability of authorization by the end of 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$251,426 Обс.
$251,426 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$251,426 Обс.
$251,426 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. military engagements, including operations tied to the conflict with Iran, have prompted updates to Selective Service procedures but no authorization for a draft. In December 2025, Congress passed and President Trump signed the 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, which mandates automatic registration of eligible men ages 18-26 through federal data integration starting December 2026. This step improves administrative readiness without amending the Military Selective Service Act to permit conscription. Actual draft authorization would require separate congressional legislation and presidential approval during a national emergency exceeding volunteer recruitment capacity. No such measures have advanced, and the Selective Service System continues to state that no draft is in effect. These factors sustain trader consensus around a low probability of authorization by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Обсяг
$251,426Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent U.S. military engagements, including operations tied to the conflict with Iran, have prompted updates to Selective Service procedures but no authorization for a draft. In December 2025, Congress passed and President Trump signed the 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, which mandates automatic registration of eligible men ages 18-26 through federal data integration starting December 2026. This step improves administrative readiness without amending the Military Selective Service Act to permit conscription. Actual draft authorization would require separate congressional legislation and presidential approval during a national emergency exceeding volunteer recruitment capacity. No such measures have advanced, and the Selective Service System continues to state that no draft is in effect. These factors sustain trader consensus around a low probability of authorization by the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any legislation is passed by both houses of the United States Congress and signed into law by the president, or otherwise enacted, which authorizes the induction of personnel into the United States Armed Forces through activation of the United States Selective Service System, or otherwise establishes a military draft, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislation that only modifies Selective Service registration requirements or administrative procedures without authorizing induction/conscription into the armed forces will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$251,426Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 13, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. military engagements, including operations tied to the conflict with Iran, have prompted updates to Selective Service procedures but no authorization for a draft. In December 2025, Congress passed and President Trump signed the 2026 National Defense Authorization Act, which mandates automatic registration of eligible men ages 18-26 through federal data integration starting December 2026. This step improves administrative readiness without amending the Military Selective Service Act to permit conscription. Actual draft authorization would require separate congressional legislation and presidential approval during a national emergency exceeding volunteer recruitment capacity. No such measures have advanced, and the Selective Service System continues to state that no draft is in effect. These factors sustain trader consensus around a low probability of authorization by the end of 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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