Anthropic's Claude Opus 5, released July 24, 2026, anchors the 88.5% market-implied odds by topping Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and multiple Arena coding and reasoning boards through August 2026. Its edge stems from strong agentic performance, self-verification, and consistent frontier scores ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and entries from Moonshot, xAI, and Alibaba. Traders see limited near-term disruption risk before the September 30 resolution, as no rival has shipped a model surpassing Claude's composite lead in recent weeks. Competitive pressure remains from faster or lower-cost alternatives, yet Anthropic's recent updates sustain the current consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Anthropic 89%
SpaceXAI 3.8%
OpenAI 3.7%
Google 2.6%
$316,962 Обс.
$316,962 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
89%
SpaceXAI
4%
OpenAI
4%
3%
Meta
1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Anthropic 89%
SpaceXAI 3.8%
OpenAI 3.7%
Google 2.6%
$316,962 Обс.
$316,962 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
Anthropic
$42,412 Обс.
89%
SpaceXAI
$16,362 Обс.
4%
OpenAI
$16,822 Обс.
4%
$15,459 Обс.
3%
Meta
$13,276 Обс.
1%
Alibaba
$18,095 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$11,805 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$12,542 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$17,840 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$12,784 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$11,301 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$14,670 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$11,882 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$13,122 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$16,265 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$14,148 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$14,320 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$12,486 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$10,484 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$6,758 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$14,131 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Opus 5, released July 24, 2026, anchors the 88.5% market-implied odds by topping Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and multiple Arena coding and reasoning boards through August 2026. Its edge stems from strong agentic performance, self-verification, and consistent frontier scores ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and entries from Moonshot, xAI, and Alibaba. Traders see limited near-term disruption risk before the September 30 resolution, as no rival has shipped a model surpassing Claude's composite lead in recent weeks. Competitive pressure remains from faster or lower-cost alternatives, yet Anthropic's recent updates sustain the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$316,962Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Anthropic's Claude Opus 5, released July 24, 2026, anchors the 88.5% market-implied odds by topping Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and multiple Arena coding and reasoning boards through August 2026. Its edge stems from strong agentic performance, self-verification, and consistent frontier scores ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and entries from Moonshot, xAI, and Alibaba. Traders see limited near-term disruption risk before the September 30 resolution, as no rival has shipped a model surpassing Claude's composite lead in recent weeks. Competitive pressure remains from faster or lower-cost alternatives, yet Anthropic's recent updates sustain the current consensus.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$316,962Дата завершення
Sep 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude Opus 5, released July 24, 2026, anchors the 88.5% market-implied odds by topping Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and multiple Arena coding and reasoning boards through August 2026. Its edge stems from strong agentic performance, self-verification, and consistent frontier scores ahead of OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol and entries from Moonshot, xAI, and Alibaba. Traders see limited near-term disruption risk before the September 30 resolution, as no rival has shipped a model surpassing Claude's composite lead in recent weeks. Competitive pressure remains from faster or lower-cost alternatives, yet Anthropic's recent updates sustain the current consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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