The ongoing Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, declared a PHEIC by WHO in May 2026, drives market sentiment, with DRC reporting 837 confirmed cases and 196 deaths as of mid-June per CDC and ECDC data, plus 19 confirmed cases in Uganda. This marks the largest known outbreak of this strain, fueled by a likely February spillover, remote locations in Ituri and neighboring provinces, armed conflict, population displacement, and weak surveillance that delays detection and isolation. CDC models project potential growth to thousands of cases without improved containment, while low U.S. risk reflects limited international travel links and screening measures. Key upcoming factors include updated WHO/Africa CDC situation reports, revised transmission models, and any new cross-border detections that could expand the list of affected countries before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$23,519 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
South Sudan
80%
Rwanda
55%
Burundi
47%
United States
31%
Canada
29%
Kenya
52%
India
35%
Republic of the Congo
26%
Nigeria
47%
Ethiopia
50%
Somalia
25%
China
31%
$23,519 Обс.
South Sudan
$641 Обс.
80%
Rwanda
$435 Обс.
55%
Burundi
$200 Обс.
47%
United States
$7,118 Обс.
31%
Canada
$839 Обс.
29%
Kenya
$141 Обс.
52%
India
$539 Обс.
35%
Republic of the Congo
$9,257 Обс.
26%
Nigeria
$24 Обс.
47%
Ethiopia
$64 Обс.
50%
Somalia
$70 Обс.
25%
China
$2,236 Обс.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, declared a PHEIC by WHO in May 2026, drives market sentiment, with DRC reporting 837 confirmed cases and 196 deaths as of mid-June per CDC and ECDC data, plus 19 confirmed cases in Uganda. This marks the largest known outbreak of this strain, fueled by a likely February spillover, remote locations in Ituri and neighboring provinces, armed conflict, population displacement, and weak surveillance that delays detection and isolation. CDC models project potential growth to thousands of cases without improved containment, while low U.S. risk reflects limited international travel links and screening measures. Key upcoming factors include updated WHO/Africa CDC situation reports, revised transmission models, and any new cross-border detections that could expand the list of affected countries before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Ринок відкрито: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,519Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.The ongoing Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, declared a PHEIC by WHO in May 2026, drives market sentiment, with DRC reporting 837 confirmed cases and 196 deaths as of mid-June per CDC and ECDC data, plus 19 confirmed cases in Uganda. This marks the largest known outbreak of this strain, fueled by a likely February spillover, remote locations in Ituri and neighboring provinces, armed conflict, population displacement, and weak surveillance that delays detection and isolation. CDC models project potential growth to thousands of cases without improved containment, while low U.S. risk reflects limited international travel links and screening measures. Key upcoming factors include updated WHO/Africa CDC situation reports, revised transmission models, and any new cross-border detections that could expand the list of affected countries before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the specified country reported between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Обсяг
$23,519Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ongoing Bundibugyo virus Ebola outbreak, declared a PHEIC by WHO in May 2026, drives market sentiment, with DRC reporting 837 confirmed cases and 196 deaths as of mid-June per CDC and ECDC data, plus 19 confirmed cases in Uganda. This marks the largest known outbreak of this strain, fueled by a likely February spillover, remote locations in Ituri and neighboring provinces, armed conflict, population displacement, and weak surveillance that delays detection and isolation. CDC models project potential growth to thousands of cases without improved containment, while low U.S. risk reflects limited international travel links and screening measures. Key upcoming factors include updated WHO/Africa CDC situation reports, revised transmission models, and any new cross-border detections that could expand the list of affected countries before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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