Trader consensus favors Jared Kushner at 22% and Steve Witkoff at 19% to meet Iranian officials by May 31, reflecting anticipation of resumed envoy diplomacy amid stalled direct talks. Vice President J.D. Vance's May 13 statement claiming progress in negotiations has boosted odds, following earlier plans for Kushner and Witkoff to engage Iran's foreign minister in Pakistan—canceled by President Trump but now potentially revived. Ongoing Trump-Xi summit talks in Beijing, where China pledged influence over Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and advance ceasefire discussions, add momentum. No direct U.S.-Iran meetings have occurred since April indirect sessions, leaving room for high-level envoys before the deadline amid nuclear and sanctions tensions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$79,931 Обс.
May 31, 2026
Jared Kushner
20%
Steve Witkoff
19%
J.D. Vance
12%
Marco Rubio
5%
Donald Trump
3%
$79,931 Обс.
Jared Kushner
$22,652 Обс.
20%
Steve Witkoff
$19,925 Обс.
19%
J.D. Vance
$22,282 Обс.
12%
Marco Rubio
$5,680 Обс.
5%
Donald Trump
$9,392 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors Jared Kushner at 22% and Steve Witkoff at 19% to meet Iranian officials by May 31, reflecting anticipation of resumed envoy diplomacy amid stalled direct talks. Vice President J.D. Vance's May 13 statement claiming progress in negotiations has boosted odds, following earlier plans for Kushner and Witkoff to engage Iran's foreign minister in Pakistan—canceled by President Trump but now potentially revived. Ongoing Trump-Xi summit talks in Beijing, where China pledged influence over Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and advance ceasefire discussions, add momentum. No direct U.S.-Iran meetings have occurred since April indirect sessions, leaving room for high-level envoys before the deadline amid nuclear and sanctions tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
Обсяг
$79,931Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus favors Jared Kushner at 22% and Steve Witkoff at 19% to meet Iranian officials by May 31, reflecting anticipation of resumed envoy diplomacy amid stalled direct talks. Vice President J.D. Vance's May 13 statement claiming progress in negotiations has boosted odds, following earlier plans for Kushner and Witkoff to engage Iran's foreign minister in Pakistan—canceled by President Trump but now potentially revived. Ongoing Trump-Xi summit talks in Beijing, where China pledged influence over Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and advance ceasefire discussions, add momentum. No direct U.S.-Iran meetings have occurred since April indirect sessions, leaving room for high-level envoys before the deadline amid nuclear and sanctions tensions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between the listed individual, acting as a representative of the United States, and representatives of Iran by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
To qualify, the listed individual must be physically present at the meeting and actively participate as a negotiator representing the United States.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$79,931Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus favors Jared Kushner at 22% and Steve Witkoff at 19% to meet Iranian officials by May 31, reflecting anticipation of resumed envoy diplomacy amid stalled direct talks. Vice President J.D. Vance's May 13 statement claiming progress in negotiations has boosted odds, following earlier plans for Kushner and Witkoff to engage Iran's foreign minister in Pakistan—canceled by President Trump but now potentially revived. Ongoing Trump-Xi summit talks in Beijing, where China pledged influence over Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and advance ceasefire discussions, add momentum. No direct U.S.-Iran meetings have occurred since April indirect sessions, leaving room for high-level envoys before the deadline amid nuclear and sanctions tensions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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