Recent diplomatic overtures between the United States and Iran center on resuming bilateral talks following the inconclusive April 2026 Islamabad round mediated by Pakistan. Key developments include Iran's April proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz while deferring nuclear discussions, which the Trump administration reviewed but largely rejected over concerns about Tehran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. Iranian officials have emphasized the need for a framework agreement before scheduling further meetings, with no firm date set as of mid-May, while U.S. envoys such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner remain central to potential participation. Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's influence and internal consultations continue to shape Iran's negotiating posture, alongside ongoing mediation efforts by Pakistan and Oman. These factors sustain trader focus on which representatives from each side might attend the next session amid persistent disagreements over core issues.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$1,179,412 Обс.
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
31%
Jared Kushner
51%
Steve Witkoff
46%
$1,179,412 Обс.
Donald Trump
4%
Marco Rubio
9%
J.D. Vance
31%
Jared Kushner
51%
Steve Witkoff
46%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 14, 2026, 6:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting.
If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic overtures between the United States and Iran center on resuming bilateral talks following the inconclusive April 2026 Islamabad round mediated by Pakistan. Key developments include Iran's April proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz while deferring nuclear discussions, which the Trump administration reviewed but largely rejected over concerns about Tehran's nuclear program and sanctions relief. Iranian officials have emphasized the need for a framework agreement before scheduling further meetings, with no firm date set as of mid-May, while U.S. envoys such as Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner remain central to potential participation. Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's influence and internal consultations continue to shape Iran's negotiating posture, alongside ongoing mediation efforts by Pakistan and Oman. These factors sustain trader focus on which representatives from each side might attend the next session amid persistent disagreements over core issues.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання